Tuesday, June 26, 2012


Barack Obama maintains a lead over Mitt Romney in the new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll -- Obnama's up 47%-44% (last month's numbers: 47%-43% Obama). But please note:
Another place where Obama is running ahead: the swing states.

Among swing-state respondents in the poll -- those living in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin -- Obama leads Romney, 50 to 42 percent.

Also in these swing states, Romney's favorability numbers have dropped, possibly reflecting the toll the negative Obama TV advertisements are having on the former Massachusetts governor in these battlegrounds.

A month ago, Romney's favorable/unfavorable score stood at 34-38 percent nationally and 36-36 percent in the 12 swing states.

But in this latest survey, his national fav/unfav score is 33-39 percent and 30-41 percent in the swing states.

In addition, the poll shows that attitudes about Romney's business background -- a frequent target in Obama ads -- also are more unfavorable in these battlegrounds.
Bain advertising is like a magic potion -- you talk about Bain and Romney's numbers instantly go down.

That's exactly what Stan Greenberg and James Carville discovered recently fter some swing-state focus groups:
In the sustained flood of advertising, the one thing that stands out is how strong the reactions to Mitt Romney are-- particularly in Ohio -- where he has been defined as hurting workers in his work at Bain....

Romney is damaged heading into this race....

Respondents immediately volunteer that Romney is rich, out of touch, and in the pocket for Wall Street and big finance. That was true before we introduced any information -- reflecting the outside advertising on Bain that was airing at the time of the groups in Ohio.
The Obama campaign mustn't go wobbly. It mustn't listen to the likes of Cory Booker and Ed Rendell. Bain is toxic.

If Obama and his allies continue to talk about Bain, Obama will win. It's that simple. This is happening now in the swing states. It needs to happen everywhere.


Greg Hao said...

With the crappy way American politics is set up, pollsters might as well stop pretending and just run polls in these supposed battleground states.

Victor said...

For a change, I'd like to see a Democratic candidate stick the shiv in and keep sticking it in and twisting it around and gutting some SOB or DOB, instead of what usually happens, which is feeling bad, applying a band-aid, and calling 911.

If people have a problem with Obama, and I have a few myself, just look at the Supreme Court and imagine 7-9 people like Scalia, Alito, Thomas, and Roberts.

They mind reels, the knees knock, and the testicles recede.