Saturday, June 02, 2012

THOSE EFFETE ELITIST OKLAHOMA CHEROKEES

Hey, Scott Brown, how's that all-Indian-all-the-time campaign workin' out for ya?

Despite a five-week drubbing over her claims to Native American heritage, Democratic Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren remains neck and neck with US Senator Scott Brown, a Republican, as she heads into Saturday’s state party convention, a new Globe poll shows.

... the bottom line is that the race remains a toss-up, with Brown leading Warren 39 percent to 37 percent, largely unchanged from the Globe's March poll that also showed Brown leading by two percentage points.


I think the problem for Brown is that his brand (phony as it may be) is "truck-drivin' regular guy," and he began the campaign by trying to persuade voters that Elizabeth Warren is a horrible Harvard elitist (he's been in the habit of calling her "Professor Warren" at every opportunity) ... but when his campaign began to fixate on the Cherokee-ancestry story, all it did was remind people that she's from Oklahoma and she's the kind of person who could conceivably have a Cherokee ancestor -- and actually wants to believe she has a Cherokee ancestor. What could be less elitist than being from Oklahoma? And having ancestors who lived in Indian Territory and mingled with Native Americans? What could be less Prius/arugula/Hollyweird? It's way more heartland than owning a barn coat.

*****

Warren is still in a struggle -- she's not beating the guy and the Cherokee issue has hurt her among independents:

The vast majority of voters (72 percent) said the issue would not affect their vote, but 31 percent of self-described independents - a critical voting bloc - said the issue makes them less likely to support Warren in November.

But I'm not sure that's a meaningful stat -- Democratic governor Deval Patrick won reelection in 2010, but exit polls showed that he lost independents, 53%-38%. A lot of teabaggers these days like to call themselves independents; they claim they hate both parties, and that's partially true, but it's only because they think both parties are insufficiently right-wing.

Warren's biggest problem is that voters in the state still think Brown is a swell guy -- according to the poll, he has a 60% job approval number, and 52% think he's more likable than Warren. They don't know he's owned by Wall Street.

Warren needs to work on that last item -- but beyond that, I think she has to run against the GOP, not against Brown. He's the Eddie Haskell of politics, and he's made an entire state his Mrs. Cleaver. It's probably impossible to get voters to dislike him.

6 comments:

Michael Gee said...

Dear Steve: Here in Mass. Independents are disproportionately actually Republicans who register as Indies so they may vote in either party's primary elections, since the actual Republican party is not competitive in many, many downballot elections, such as state rep, county officers, etc.

Steve M. said...

That makes sense. I left Massachusetts in the '70s. Back then, everyone I knew was a Democrat -- though if you wanted to, you could vote for a right-wing Democrat back then (e.g., Louise Day Hicks).

: smintheus :: said...

The right wingers seem increasingly desperate to dent Warren's image. The bizarre story in the Herald today and yesterday is a case in point, trying pathetically to portray Warren as someone who took advantage of home owners. All she did was to finance her nephew's contracting business in which he bought cheap houses, fixed them up, and resold them for modest profits. It's the kind of ridiculous over-reach that could turn MA voters off from the Republican smear campaign.

Victor said...

If the people of MA can't see that Scott Brown is Mitt without the money, and the dressage and riding horses, then they deserve what they're going to get.

He's only been semi-nice 'cause of the election this year, after only 2 years in office.

Give this boy 6 years, and he'll screw MA up as much as a Senator can. And his campaign fund for the reelection after that will be VERY will funded!

Anonymous said...

Scott Brown has horses too. That's why he bought the notorious pickup truck, to tow horses to his daughter's equestrian events.

Rugosa said...

Victor, I want you to have my babies! ;-)

I live in MA and you are absolutely right. Brown really has no basis for criticizing Warren as an elitist - they both came up from modest backgrounds - but the PR team has created the story, and we're off to the races.

And if the Dems had as much political smarts as the Republicans, what flipyrwhig said would be on the nightly news in every voting district.