Thursday, October 30, 2008


In his Wall Street Journal article "Don't Let the Polls Affect Your Vote" (subject of my last post), Karl Rove writes, concerning John McCain's chances for a comeback:

But the question that matters is the margin. If Mr. McCain is down by 3%, his task is doable, if difficult. If he's down by 9%, his task is essentially impossible.

Now look what's happened: the Journal's corporate partner, Fox News, just released a poll showing McCain ... down by 3%! And he was down 9% last week!

But check out the party split in the two polls (PDF):

Democrats had a six-point party-affiliation advantage in the last poll. Now it's two? Anybody think that in any way jibes with reality right now?

According to Gallup, that's less than the Dems' party advantage in 2006 or 2004. Anyone think they've slipped over the past two years?

Preposterous. But it got Murdoch just the number he wanted.

No comments: