Thursday, May 13, 2010


David Weigel believes the repeal thing isn't working for Republicans, according to a new poll:

The new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll has mostly good news for Republicans, who tie Democrats 44-44 in the generic ballot and who see most of their arguments catching fire. One argument that isn't? Total repeal of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.

That's a 13-point margin for "give it a chance," which is not the argument conservatives want to go to the electorate with....

I'm not so sure about that. Remember, this is not a poll of likely voters, or even registered voters (14% of respondents said they aren't registered and 1% weren't sure). It's a poll of adult Americans -- and the adult Americans who seem much more likely to vote right now are the anti-health-care-reform crowd:

The voters who said they were most interested in the November elections favor Republican control of Congress by a 20-point margin, with 56% backing the GOP and 36% backing Democrats -- the highest gap all year on that question.

If the people in the pro-repeal 42% are more likely to vote than the people in the anti-repeal 55%, isn't it possible that we're close to a voting majority for repeal? Isn't it at least likely that there are voting majorities for repeal in many swing districts?

So, um, when are these very, very popular provisions of HCR supposed to kick in?

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