Tuesday, April 05, 2016

SO WHO'S MISSISSIPPI'S PREFERRED PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE? YOU PROBABLY GUESSED WRONG.

This is getting a lot of attention:
... Donald Trump could turn Mississippi blue for the first time in 40 years, according to a Mason-Dixon poll released Tuesday.

...the Mason-Dixon poll suggests that Trump fares the worst against Hillary Clinton in a general election -- meaning the state could vote for the Democrat for the first time in a presidential election since 1976, when Jimmy Carter carried the state by a narrow margin over incumbent President Gerald Ford.

The Republican front-runner holds a 3-point lead over Clinton statewide, 46 percent to 43 percent with 11 percent undecided. Trump’s advantage, however, falls within the margin of error, while Cruz and John Kasich safely carry the state by double-digit margins.

Compared with his Republican rivals, Trump has the least percentage of support across the board. Cruz and Kasich have a greater percentage of support among white and black voters; men and women; and Democrats, Republicans and independents.
Trump has alienated a lot of people -- and yet you'd assume that, Mississippi being Mississippi, the favorite candidate if it's not Trump, would be the non-Trump with the reputation for being extremely conservative.

It turns out you'd be wrong:
Statewide, Cruz leads Clinton 51%-40% and Kasich is ahead by an even larger 52%-37% margin.
Kasich does better than Cruz? The difference is slight, but it's there. Strange, given the fact that the Republican primary results were Trump 47%, Cruz 36%, Kasich 9%. I can't find the crosstabs, but I wonder if Kasich is gulling moderates and even some Democrats in Mississippi the way he is further north.

Meanwhile, a state that has an outside chance of going Democratic in the fall is doing this now:
Mississippi Gov. Phil Bryant has signed a controversial "religious freedom" bill into law.

The law, HB 1523, promises that the state government will not punish people who refuse to provide services to people because of a religious opposition to same-sex marriage, extramarital sex or transgender people....

The law protects, among other things, state employees who refuse to license marriages, religious organizations who fire or discipline employees and individuals who decline to provide counseling or some medical services based on those oppositions.
Yes, there's even more to this than you've heard:



Well, some institutions do feel it's their right to fire people for what they do on their own time, like cohabit with partners, even opposite-sex partners.

I don't know how all this fits together. Maybe you can explain it.

4 comments:

Victor said...

It doesn't fit together at all.
At least not logically.

It's simply a case of, "Either you fuck the the way we 'Christians' tell you to fuck, or you don't fuck at all!"

Buttinski's like this have been around since people were in caves. And they're still in caves.

Ten Bears said...

Ever see a flood? Nothing stops water. Like buffalo, when it starts moving it takes everything with it. Lately, watching the weather channel and gauging this year's exceptional snowpack against yet another month early thaw (it's sixty-five degrees on the Oregon High Desert, at four thousand feet just miles from what were once prolific glaciers close enough to the forty-fifth parallel to call it half way to the North Pole), I have this vision of all the Mississippi Delta States washing out to sea.

Wishful thinking, I'm sure.

mlbxxxxxx said...

I think the inclusion of pre-marital sex is a way of forestalling the criticism that this is targeted only at the LBGT community. This is about sin, by god! All kinds of sin. So bakers can refuse to bake a cake for hetero hussies and hound dogs as well as same-sex perverts. Wonder how many will?

That being said, trying to make sense out of Mississippi is not a productive use of time, really. Trust me, I live here. Our state nickname should be "The Cut-off-your-nose-to-spite-your-face State."

Belvoir said...

I'll explain: Fuck Mississippi. Goddamn!