Monday, April 08, 2013

IF THERE'S EVER A NEW THATCHER, SHE'LL HAVE TO BE ON OUR SIDE

Here's how Britain looked to Andrew Sullivan in the dark moment before Margaret Thatcher, a woman he clearly still worships, took power:
Yes: the British left would prefer to keep everyone poorer if it meant preventing a few getting richer. And the massively powerful trade union movement worked every day to ensure that mediocrity was protected, individual achievement erased, and that all decisions were made collectively, i.e. with their veto. And so – to take the archetypal example – Britain's coal-workers fought to make sure they could work unprofitable mines for years of literally lung-destroying existence and to pass it on to their sons for yet another generation of black lung. This "right to work" was actually paid for by anyone able to make a living in a country where socialism had effectively choked off all viable avenues for prosperity. And if you suggested that the coal industry needed to be shut down in large part or reshaped into something commercial, you were called, of course, a class warrior, a snob, a Tory fascist, etc. So hard-working Brits trying to make a middle class living were taxed dry to keep the life-spans of powerful mine-workers short.

To put it bluntly: The Britain I grew up in was insane. The government owned almost all major manufacturing, from coal to steel to automobiles. Owned. It employed almost every doctor and owned almost every hospital. Almost every university and elementary and high school was government-run. And in the 1970s, you could not help but realize as a young Brit, that you were living in a decaying museum – some horrifying mixture of Eastern European grimness surrounded by the sculptured bric-a-brac of statues and buildings and edifices that spoke of an empire on which the sun had once never set. Now, in contrast, we lived on the dark side of the moon and it was made up of damp, slowly degrading concrete.
Whereas now, um, everything's just ducky? Well, no. Here's Juan Cole's portrait of the present day
In some part because of Margaret Thatcher's policies, the share of British income of the top 1% had increased from 7.1% in 1970 to 14.3% in 2005. That is, the wealthiest 620,000 Britons take home twice as much of the national income every year as they did before Thatcher. The share of the working and middle classes plummeted in the same period.

... Half of the increase in income inequality at the top has gone to professionals in financial services, even though moving money around isn't all that helpful to the economy compared to actually making something of value, and even though the financial sector was enabled by deregulation to engage in vast fraud and unsound investment practices, destroying the world's economies in 2008.

... At the same time, tax rates on the wealthy have plummeted, which means that the government cannot mitigate the consequences of the inequality, and has been forced to cut services for the poor and middle classes.

... In 1980 14% of the UK was in poverty. Today some 33% suffer multiple forms of financial insecurity.

In 1980, five percent of households could not afford to heat the living areas of their homes. Last winter, 29 percent had to turn the heating down or heat only one or two rooms. Thatcherism has literally made them cold! ...
There can't be another Thatcher (or another Reagan) in our near future because Thatcherism/Reaganism is winning. As Cole says, "eople celebrating that she kept the British pound and declined to enter the Eurozone, thus saving Britain from the current continental malaise ignore that the adoption of Thatcher-like policies on the continent is what produced that malaise," and even Sullivan concedes the point:
She wanted to return Britain to the tradition of her thrifty, traditional father; instead she turned it into a country for the likes of her son, a wayward, money-making opportunist.
We can't have another right-wing Thatcher or Reagan because we've lived in their economic and foreign policy world ever since their era. Matt Yglesias essentially has it right:
Listening to contemporary conservatives, you often get the sense that they want to just rerun the policy agenda of the late 1970s and early 1980s. But today the leading global problem is climate change, not Communism. That's not because Communism isn't bad, it's because the Cold War is over. Privatizing state-run industrial companies won't jump-start growth. That's not because state-ownership of industrial firms is a good idea, it's because we don't have any. Reducing the power of labor unions to curb cost-push inflation doesn't fix anything because labor unions aren't powerful anymore. When you triumph, you triumph. But history doesn't end, new issues come to the front of the stack. We have a crisis of inadequate demand. We have the problem of providing health care to an aging population. Trying to apply the "lessons of Munich" to Vietnam was a disaster. Trying to apply the economic policy solutions of a generation ago to the problems of today is equally inappropriate.
And if there's anything "insane" about the governance of the West right now, it's Thatcherism/Reaganism applied to an economic downturn that needs just the opposite medicine. It's trying to continue applying "the lessons of Munich" to Islamicists using tactics that regularly kill civilians.

It's almost unimaginable that a Reagan or Thatcher of the left could ever rise up in America, Britain, or the Continent -- entrenched interests won't allow it -- but it's be our aside that will reverse insanity, if anyone will.
TARDY-CONDOLENCE-STATEMENT-GATE!!!!!!

Can right-wingers turn anything into a reason for hating Barack Obama? Let's see ... Margaret Thatcher's death? Sure they can. Check out the Twitter feed of Fox's Todd Starnes:











These people are insane.

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UPDATE: Happy now, Todd?



Let's see if anyone on the right acknowledges that the president made no mention of political differences with Thatcher. Compare the statement by Labour Party leader Ed Milliband:
"I send my deep condolences to Lady Thatcher's family, in particular Mark and Carol Thatcher.

"She will be remembered as a unique figure. She reshaped the politics of a whole generation. She was Britain's first woman Prime Minister. She moved the centre ground of British politics and was a huge figure on the world stage.

"The Labour Party disagreed with much of what she did and she will always remain a controversial figure. But we can disagree and also greatly respect her political achievements and her personal strength.

"She also defined the politics of the 1980s. David Cameron, Nick Clegg and I all grew up in a politics shaped by Lady Thatcher. We took different paths but with her as the crucial figure of that era.

"She coped with her final, difficult years with dignity and courage. Critics and supporters will remember her in her prime."
THE STORY THEY DON'T WANT YOU TO READ! (Because they assume you've already read it)

Yesterday Ross Douthat published a column about that letter from Princeton alumna Susan Patton urging young women at her alma mater to find husbands at the school and marry young. Douthat triumphantly declares that Patton's letter has ripped the lid off a secret plan to restrict the Ivy League marriage pool to fellow elites -- something no one's ever acknowledged until now:
{Patton] has been denounced as a traitor to feminism, to coeducation, to the university ideal. But really she's something much more interesting: a traitor to her class.

Her betrayal consists of being gauche enough to acknowledge publicly a truth that everyone who's come up through Ivy League culture knows intuitively -- that elite universities are about connecting more than learning, that the social world matters far more than the classroom to undergraduates, and that rather than an escalator elevating the best and brightest from every walk of life, the meritocracy as we know it mostly works to perpetuate the existing upper class.
No one's ever talked about this before! ... Except ... um, Douthat's colleague David Brooks, repeatedly throughout his career, going back to his New York Times bestselling first book, Bobos in Paradise, which (despite Brooks's roots in the right-wing media) was eagerly read by the folks DougJ calls "totebaggers." Here's Brooks on The NewsHour in 2000, explaining his research method for the book:
DAVID BROOKS: One of the places I went to look at these was the New York "Times" wedding page, which is a great indicator of the American elite. In the 1950's, it was the WASP aristocracy. It was, you know, when your ancestor came over was listed on the page-- not your job, but your connections, what cotillion ball you came out. Now if you look at the New York "Times" wedding page, it's this great clash of resumes. It's, like, they call it the mergers and acquisitions page. Harvard marries Yale. Princeton marries Stanford. Magna cum laude marries magna cum laude. You never get a magna cum laude marrying a summa cum laude because the tensions would be too great in that wedding.
(Actually, that's not true -- Ross Douthat himself is a Harvard magna cum laude married to a Harvard summa cum laude, a fact the Douthats took pains to note in their Times wedding announcement.)

In other words, this is not news. And I assume that "associative mating" is common in most strata of American society -- Patrick Henry, the Bible college that was a feeder school for jobs in the Bush administration and will probably play the same role in the Rubio administration, probably doesn't have a lot of graduates who marry forklift operators or hipsters from Bushwick or Portlandia.

I suppose there's a case to be made that social networking in the Ivies is the primary factor that keeps the same elite families at the top of the heap, as Douthat argues (I think other factors are at work, among them an economy that's uninterested in innovation apart from crafting tax loopholes and exotic financial instruments). But if Douthat believes this, he might have made a stronger case if he hadn't written this about the Secret No One Will Discuss:
... don't come out and say it! Next people will start wondering ... why in a country of 300 million people and countless universities, we can't seem to elect a president or nominate a Supreme Court justice who doesn't have a Harvard or Yale degree.
Um, Ross? Our current Ivy League president is the son of an American teenager born in Kansas and a Kenyan (and the president is married to a Princetonian from the South Side of Chicago who, along with her brother, was part of the first generation in her family to go to college at all). Two presidents ago we elected a Yale Law grad from Nowheresville, Arkansas. And one of our Supreme Court justices is a Princeton/Yale Law graduate of Puerto Rican descent who grew up poor in the Bronx, the daughter of a nurse and a tool-and-die worker with a third-grade education.

In other words, there's some social mobility in this country -- though not nearly enough, and less than there's been. And the point Douthat misses is that efforts to perpetuate elitism tend to be meritocratic -- if you've beaten the odds and clawed your way into the elite from outside it, Susan Patton would probably deem you acceptable to marry a female Princeton undergrad. Bobo marriage these days are pan-ethnic, even if they're not pan-economic.

Sunday, April 07, 2013

TAKE IDIOT CENTRISM. ADD BULLYING WINGNUTTERY. MIX THOROUGHLY. YIELDS: BOOK DEAL AND NEW YORK TIMES INTERVIEW

Dan Baum is a self-proclaimed liberal who loves guns, and he's written a book called Gun Guys that takes fellow liberals to task: We would have reasonable gun control in America, you see, if we weren't so disgustingly liberal. The book got him a big interview with Joe Nocera that's the lead story in the Sunday Review section of The New York Times. As Baum says to Nocera:
My essential belief is that we need to treat gun owners with more respect while also demanding a higher level of responsibility.
Yes, that's the problem: the people who made gun-rights robocalls to Newtown, Connecticut, mere months after after the Sandy Hook massacre, and who make ads attacking the Secret Service detail provided to the minor children of the president of the United States, deserve more respect. Otherwise, reasonable gun laws can't pass.

Yes, I understand: rank-and-file gun owners didn't do those things. Lobbying organizations did them. But rank-and-file gun owners continue sending large amounts of money to those lobbying organizations, and even the gun owners who don't join the NRA or Gun Owners of America or other groups don't denounce them in disgust.

I acknowlege the existence of a strain of liberal rhetoric about gun owners that caricatures them as toothless, barefoot cousin-shaggers with an excessive lust for blood. But respect is a two-way street, and I don't think gun owners have much respect for the culture of non-gun-loving segment of society. Baum thinks 100% of the blame is on our side, as you'll see in the quote below -- and watch how he then parrots gun owners' lack of respect for the rest of us while demanding that we respect gun owners:
... [Responsible gun owners] don't feel represented by the N.R.A. This is why I started on this book -- I don't feel represented by the N.R.A., and I know a lot of gun guys who don't. But we don't have -- perhaps because we don't feel strongly enough about it -- there is no other organization of the sane gun guys, of the nice gun guys, the reasonable, socially minded gun guys. Gun guys, I think, need to take much more seriously that they're custodians of firearms. Their guns affect everybody and they need to be much more responsible with them. And in order to get them there, we need to make allies of them. And frankly, forgive me, you and your rhetoric make enemies of them, and that's making us less safe. Look at what Connecticut is doing. You're not going to get any public safety benefit out of that. I think you're gonna make us less safe. Because you drive the gun guys into that defensive crouch that's so destructive.
Baum, you see, supports all kinds of good gun restrictions, or what he considers good ones. Mandatory lockup of guns in the home? Check. Liability for a gun owner who leaves a weapon in the glovebox that's stolen and used in a crime? Sure. Prosecution of parents if a kid shoots someone with an unsecured gun in the home? Maybe. And he insists this heretofore undetected cohort of reasonable gun owners would be right behind him, backing every move.

Well, what the hell is stoppiing them? It's a free country. Why hasn't such a group emerged? Are we liberals preventing this? We'd be incredibly grateful. And if such a group said, as Baum does, that some of the proposals we support -- assault weapon bans, limits on magazines -- are bad ideas, we might listen because this would be a pro-gun group treating us with respect, rather than calling us fascist Antichrists.

But no such group exists. And that's the gun community's fault, not ours.

But it's so easy for this guy to talk about guns the way idiot centrists talk about, say, the federal budget (If you liberals would just compromise, the right-wingers would be nice to you!) -- after which he spouts off like Wayne LaPierre with his own set of cultural stereotypes:
You don't understand guns, and you don't know gun guys, yet you want to make rules for things you don't understand for people you don't know. And that is not how we're going to end up safer. Where gun guys draw the line is having you make consumer decisions for them. Because what you're saying, Joe -- you, on the Upper West Side of Manhattan -- you want to say to some guy in Kansas, "You can have this rifle. But you can't have that one." And they're saying, "What does Joe Nocera know about guns? What does Joe Nocera know about me?" It is offensive.
You know what's really offensive, Dan? This insistence that I have to have a visceral, gut-level knowledge of an experience in order to have an opinion on it.

You know what else I've never experienced? Heroin. Crack. Crystal meth. I've never done any of these drugs. I've never cooked them up. I've never sold them. Does that mean I'm not qualified to have an opinion on whether they should be regulated? Or on whether they're bad for you?

I never fought in a war. Should I have been told to shut the hell up when I expressed an opinion on the invasion of Iraq?

I give Joe Nocera credit -- he pushes back throughout his interview with Baum. ("Why do gun owners get to have this level of 'respect' that no other segment of society has? I could say, 'I'm a responsible driver. Why does the government get to tell me that I have to wear a seat belt?'") But Baum has combined the worst of centrism and the worst of right-wing extremism -- and it got him a book contract, and a big story in the Times. Slick move.

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OH, AND: If you think liberal contempt is what's preventing moderate gun owners from advocating gun restrictions, take a look at what happened to Reed Exhibitions, organizer of many of the major gun shows, when it tried to keep assault weapons out one show out respect for the Sandy Hook victims, and take a look at what happened to Smith & Wesson in 2000 when it tried to work with the Clinton administration on gun control. Retaliation was swift, relentless, and brutally effective -- and it came from the gun community, not from the Upper West Side.

Saturday, April 06, 2013

VALHALLA, I AM COMING: FOX FAVE WAS A (VOLUNTARILY) FLOGGED PAGAN

Early in the week, we learned about a bribery plot that was intended to win the Republican mayoral nomination in New York City for Malcolm Smith, a disaffected Democratic state senator from Queens. Smith's co-conspirator was a Republican city councilman from Queens named Dan Halloran.

Halloran, you may recall, was the guy most responsible for spreading the story -- ultimately debunked -- that union snow-removal workers deliberately engaged in a work slowdown after a Christmas-week blizzard hit New York City in 2010. Halloran has also been a frequent guest on Fox News, opining on everything from Mike Bloomberg's large-soda ban to the Obama administration's Middle East policy.

Now we learn (hat tip: Gawker) that Halloran is a pagan, a member of a polytheistic pre-Christian church whose tenets at one point required him to be flogged.

So we are told by the New York Post (apparently Murdoch's media empire no longer has any use for Halloran):
... Dan Halloran (R-Queens) -- who was arrested Tuesday as the suspected bag man in state Sen. Malcolm Smith's alleged plot to buy his way onto the mayoral ticket -- has been publicly flogged and lost a spear-throwing contest as part of his Theodish punishments.

Halloran converted in the 1980s from Catholicism to the pre-Christian Germanic religion....

He learned about their tough disciplinary code when he committed an undisclosed act against a female "thrall" -- or probationary servant.

He was stripped to his waist, strapped to a tree and flogged with a belt 11 times.

Fellow member Nick Ritter refused to discuss the episode, but said the punishment fit the crime.

"He was given a choice," Ritter said. "He was going to leave Theodism or stay and pay the piper." ...
Steven Thrasher of The Village Voice reported on this in 2011:
Halloran was no garden-variety pagan. He was the "First Atheling," or prince, of his own Theodish tribe, called New Normandy. He had "thralls" who swore their allegiance to him. He didn't just spend weekends reconstructing the religious activities of the pre-Christian Norse and Germanic gods -- he led his flock, about 100 people at its height, in their polytheistic celebration of the gods (plural). They'd gather for "blot" (sacrifice and feast), "sumble" ("boast and toast of the gods"), and play games that, to the outside eye, looked like something from Dungeons & Dragons or a Renaissance fair.
But he was unwilling to acknowledge his paganism when he ran (successfully) for the City Council in 2009 as a Republican/Conservative/tea party candidate:
As Thrasher went on to recount, Halloran had attempted to minimize, and even hide, his pagan beliefs, without ever quite refuting them, during the election. He took down the New Normandy website, on which you used to be able to find photos of Halloran swilling mead from horns and dressing in "medieval garb," and wrote a column called "I believe in God." One pagan described his campaign as "[p]andering to monotheism." "There is not a man who knows him well, not a one, who doesn't hate his guts now," said another.
Well, it's a free country -- although the vast majority of Halloran's fellow teabaggers, not to mention most of the Fox News audience and most Fox on-air personalities, would disagree, insisting that America is (choose one) a Christian or a Judeo-Christian nation. But for him they made an exception, while he proved useful to them.

Oh, and Halloran doesn't freedom of religion is for everybody, as the Voice story notes:
In a video made by "Stop Islamization for America," you can see Halloran seated on a dais near Pamela Geller before speaking at an event called "The Ground Zero Mosque: The Second Wave of the 9/11 Attacks."

... "Let me apologize on behalf of the cowards in politics, who choose to stand up for special interests instead of doing what is right," Halloran begins his speech.

Being right, in this case, involved demonizing all Muslims for 9/11. Halloran then proceeds to align himself with his Irish, Roman Catholic, and cop roots, pandering in the crudest possible way to the audience's fears.

"Would World War II veterans stand for a Shinto Temple to be built on the Arizona Memorial? Absolutely not," Halloran says. "The greatest generation would not stand for something like that, and it has nothing to do with tolerance."
So if you're hoisting a flagon of mead right now, hoist it to the law enforcement personnel who brought this jerk down.
RIGHT-WINGERS CURIOUSLY UNINTERESTED IN CRYING "FASCISM!" AS OBAMA JUSTICE DEPARTMENT JAILS MAN FOR SPEECH

The right believes that Barack Obama is a totalitarian president determined to crush all forms of dissent, with a Justice Department clearly eager to do his sinister bidding. Given that widely held belief, you'd think this story would be getting a lot of attention in conservative circles, as one more sign of the president's jackbooted ways:
Activist re-imprisoned for HuffPo article

Daniel McGowan ... was re-imprisoned today for publishing an article on the Huffington Post, according to the claims of his lawyers and his wife.

Attorneys at the Center for Constitutional Rights representing McGowan say he was taken into custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn yesterday because his Huffington Post article violated the Federal Bureau of Prisons' regulation prohibiting inmates from "publishing under a byline."

McGowan, who pleaded guilty in 2006 to federal charges of arson, had been moved to a halfway house in December. In his Huffington Post article, published on Monday, he charged the BOP with transferring him to a high security prison during his incarceration in order to restrict his freedom of speech....
Ahhh, but of course it's not fascism in this case, because McGowan is "an activist with Earth Liberation Front, the animal rights activist group."

It seems to me that this case is strikingly similar to that of Nakoula Basseley Nakoula, a convicted criminal who was arrested last fall for violating the terms of his probation; his violation was the posting of an excerpt from the anti-Islam film Innocence of Muslims on YouTube. You may recall the right-wing response to that:
...spurred on by conservative web king Matt Drudge, conservatives have turned Nakoula into a martyr for free speech.

As Roy Edroso documents in the Village Voice, conservatives are now claiming that Nakoula's recent arrest for potentially violating the terms of his probation is proof the Obama administration is caving to violent protests around the world. Popular conservative blogger Glenn Reynolds demanded Obama resign for "sending -- literally -- brownshirted enforcers to engage in -- literally -- a midnight knock at the door of a man for the non-crime of embarrassing the President of the United States and his administration[.]" The "brownshirts" are the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department, whom Reynolds is comparing to militia of the Nazi Party in Germany. Powerline blogger Scott Johnson declared "I am Nakoula Basseley Nakoula," (a reference to the anti-Red Scare film Spartacus). Pajamas Media blogger Roger Simon wrote "Hillary Clinton, I insist that you have me arrested. I am thinking of making a movie about Mohammed."
Curiously, I see no complaints about the re-jailing of Daniel McGowan at Power Line, none at Instapundit, none anywhere else at Pajamas Media.

McGowan has since been allowed to return to the halfway house. But ... but ... harassment! And ... and ... inviolate constitutional rights! Will none of of our right-wing betters speak up for the Constitution?

Friday, April 05, 2013

TESTING WHETHER THE BARREL HAS A BOTTOM

I don't know if this could really happen, but I hope it does:
Tony Perkins floated as possible candidate for Louisiana Senate seat

As Republicans search for a candidate to challenge Louisiana Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu in 2014, some conservatives are floating a familiar face: Tony Perkins, the president of the Family Research Council.

While multiple GOP sources tell The Daily Caller they think Perkins is interested in a campaign, other Republicans in Louisiana and Washington say they haven't heard anything about Perkins gearing up for a run.

Other conservatives in the Christian conservative community are reacting favorably to the idea....
I hope the 2014 Senate field for the GOP is literally 100% nutjobs. I hope they're all as far right as Ted Cruz and Rand Paul. I hope it's Steve King and Paul Broun and Joe Miller and this guy. I hope some teabagger beats Mitch McConnell in the primary by dubbing him a liberal. I hope this happens coast to coast.

I know that even this probably won't work, but if anything could get the Beltway establishment, and thus the general public, to grasp that maybe, possibly, the Republican Party as currently configured is a menace to American society, it would be the systematic replacement of all of its arguably within-the-pale politicians with the most batshit-crazy extremists.

And yeah, I know that some of these clowns could win in their states, including Perkins. But the only way it might become clear to the establishment and public that the GOP is crazy is if there's no one left in the party's front ranks to provide a veneer of respectability, because they've all been replaced by lunatics.

Tony Perkins defended Todd Akin after he talked about "legitimate rape." Perkins (head of an anti-gay organization dubbed a hate group by the Southern Poverty Law Center) thinks gay youths who kill themselves do so because they know they're "abnormal," and he's denounced what he regarded as unacceptably pro-gay actions by the people who make Mike & Ike candies and the makers of a Star Wars game. He's reported to have once bought a mailing list from David Duke as the manager of a Senate candidate's campaign, and he once made a speech before the racist Council of Conservative Citizens.





Run, Tony, run!

(Via Pam Spaulding.)
THIS IS WHAT YOU GET WHEN LIBERAL IDEAS AREN'T EVEN PART OF THE DISCUSSION

I should be more upset about this than I am:
President Obama next week will take the political risk of formally proposing cuts to Social Security and Medicare in his annual budget in an effort to demonstrate his willingness to compromise with Republicans and revive prospects for a long-term deficit-reduction deal, administration officials say....
First of all, there's zero chance of a bargain aloing the lines Obama is proposing, which includes a "demand for higher taxes from wealthy individuals and some corporations." The fifth sentence of the New York Times article I'm quoting begins:
The administration's hope is to create cracks in Republicans' antitax resistance....
That cracks me up. As if it could actually happen.

I can never tell if the administration actually understand that there is no chance whatsoever of this and is just posturing, or if hope really does spring eternal in Obamaites' "grand bargain"-craving heads. But it doesn't matter -- or at least it doesn't matter as long as the president stands firm on the tax-the-rich quid for his screw-the-beneficiaries quo. The GOP will never, ever go for it.

A Social Security cut based on a shift to chained CPI is part of the president's proposal. I see that BooMan thinks this is not awful. This will upset some of you, but I think he's right that it's a less bad option than a lot of other proposals that have been floated. BooMan cites a December Salon article by Alex Seitz-Wald. What Seitz-Wald wrote about the dealmaking then seems relevant now:
The key question is this: Do you believe Obama can get a deal without cutting anything from social safety entitlement programs, or is he going to have to do something? If you fall in the former camp, then the chained CPI is dead on arrival. But, if you think we're going to have to cut entitlements at some point, then the chained CPI is probably the least bad option of a menu of bad possibilities, including raising the Medicare retirement age, which is the most likely alternative and would be far more harmful.
That's the point: we are probably going to have to cut entitlements at some point because liberal budget alternatives that spare entitlements are simply considered beyond the pale in the Beltway. And until our side figures out a way to get such proposals into the debate in a serious way -- with a serious chance of passage -- then the calls for austerity are going to be relentless, and thus it's not surprising that the president feels he has to propose something austere.

I've looked at the "what you lose" calculator for chained CPI at the Web site of AARP (which opposes the idea). I plugged in my age (54), and, because I'm not collecting benefits yet, I plugged in the average annual Social Security benefit, as AARP suggests (it's $15,190). The calculator tells me that over ten years, under chained CPI, I'll lose $2,354.81 -- or about $20 a month. I don't know why the hell ordinary Americans have to pay more for the recent follies of our betters -- but if the system insists that we have to (and that seems to be the case), then this is a hit I could endure. Yes, it's a lot of money for the very poor and very elderly, but the Times story says the White House proposal includes "financial protections for low-income and very old beneficiaries."

The ridiculous thing about this is that even though the president is talking about deficit reductions (past and proposed) that are 80% spending cuts and 20% tax increases, he's going to continue to be attacked as a compulsive taxer and spender by the GOP. And even though the GOP wants massive benefit cuts, dwarfing what Obama is proposing, Republicans are going to run against Democrats as benefit cutters in 2014.

So this sucks -- but it would take a great liberal revival in America to get reasonable counterproposals on the table.

****

AND: In case it's not clear what I mean by "a great liberal revival," what I mean is a serious increase in the number of Americans, especially white heartland Americans, who viscerally understand how right and right-centrist economic policies screw them, and who are motivated to vote for politicians who resist those policies.

****

UPDATE: AARP calculator link fixed.
MICHELLE OBAMA MISSPEAKS, CORRECTS HERSELF; RIGHT-WINGERS' HEADS EXPLODE

Cue the winger freakout as Michelle Obama slips up in a local news discussion of her anti-obesity campaign:
In an interview Thursday, first lady Michelle Obama mistakenly called herself a "busy single mother" before quickly correcting herself....

"Believe me, as a busy single mother -- or, I shouldn't say 'single' -- as a busy mother," Obama told WCAX, a CBS affiliate in Burlington, Vt. "You know, when you've got the husband who's president, it can feel a little single, but he's there," she joked....





Some of the reactions around the Net are what you'd expect: racism (from the comments at the CBS story: "She looks like a monkey"), resentment of the fact that she has a staff, resentment of the vacations she and her family go on. Glenn Beck's Blaze thinks she corrected herself out of some sinister calculation:
Perhaps realizing the backlash such a statement would cause, Mrs. Obama quickly backtracked....
Um, no -- she made a mistake and she corrected it. That's what humans do. (To me, she looks tired in the clip.)

But the weirdest reactions concern the notion that she and her husband are in some sort of "sham marriage."

The CBS commenters who believe this refer to the president as "her ungrateful husband who'd rather lavish attention and praise on other women these days." (This does come on the day he referred to California's Kamala Harris as America's "best-looking attorney general.") But in the fever swamps of the right, the wingers are telling us that the marriage has always been a sham, the kids aren't his, and Michelle is a "beard" because the president is gay. From Free Republic:





But not every wingnut agrees that Obama's former body man, Reggie Love, is Obama's soul mate. A commenter at Twitchy tells us:
Google Man's Country/Obama or Kal Penn Obama Affair and you will definitely see there is a lot they have not told us!
Yes, the man in Obama's life is, supposedly, Harold and Kumar actor and former White House aide Kal Penn. (I'm not even going to bother to read this, but Google does find me a 2011 post from the PUMA blog Hillbuzz -- yes, it didn't go away after 2008 -- titled "Why Won't the Agenda-Driven Media Report on Barack Obama Being Gay, Sexually Harassing Male Actor Kal Penn, and Frequenting Chicago Bathhouse Man's Country...You Know, the Way They Leaped to Trash Herman Cain with Unsubstantiated Sexual Innuendo?")

The wingers have really glommed on to the allegations from the sad, pathetic Larry Sinclair that Obama led a gay (and drug-addled) life in Chicago. So I'm sorry that the Public Policy Polling conspiracy theory survey didn't include a question asking whether Obama is gay. I bet belief in this theory would reach double digits among 2012 Romney voters.

Thursday, April 04, 2013

FREE REPUBLIC SHOWS ITS LOVE FOR ROGER EBERT

We lost Roger Ebert today. I see that over at Free Republic they're mourning him in their inimitable way:
One thumb up for the amusing, witty film reviews, at least until late in his life ...

and one thumb down for his late-in-life spew of leftist hatred.

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He was a visceral man. I hope he repented in the end.

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I will NOT have ANYTHING good to say about him for Him, His "Industry" and the "Industry" that he reported on accelerated the ROT of our once-GREAT Country. He will stand before the "Great White Throne" to give an account of his life and receive JUDGEMENT!

****

The sequester cuts to the cost of Medicaid cancer treatments killed him.Elections have consequences.

****

He was hate-filled liberal.

****

Who?? Like I give a carp.

****

gasbag

(that's my review)

****

No tears shed here. I here it's pretty warm where he is right now.


****

Did he EVER get around to reviewing Obama 2016?


****

one less libtard


****

I wish I could say that I missed him but I never had the chance to shoot at him so that just won't be true.


****

He became a vile and nasty man carrying around that elite thing that so many of those on the left strut their stuff with. He deserves to rot in hell. Good riddens.


****

I have to say that I feel the same about the death of Roger Ebert. Further, I extend that negativity to the demise of all, especially free born American citizens, who have, are and will continue to betray this Republic. Low information voters know the difference between right and wrong so I include them as well. Refraining from saying anything bad about those who die with their unrepentant betrayal of America intact is the best I can do.
I wrote less-than-sympathetic posts about Christopher Hitchens and Ed Koch after their deaths -- but they were thoroughly political men and full-time provocateurs. Roger Ebert was -- for all the shots he may have taken at Bill O'Reilly, Sean Hannity, Sarah Palin and the tea party -- a freaking film critic. If you can crank up the hate for Ebert, if you imagine him burning in hell just because you disagreed with his political opinions, then the dark rot in your soul when you think about people you don't agree with who engage in politics full-time must be utterly abhorrent. Take a breath, people.
WE'RE BETTER THAN YOU AT BEING YOU!

Ta-Nehisi Coates has a good op-ed on Dr. Benjamin Carson in The New York Times today. Coates's column places Carson in a lengthening list of aspirants for the title "Conservative Black Hope"; previous contenders have included Alan Keyes, Michael Steele, Allen West, and Herman Cain.

A key aspect of this job is spreading the notion that other African-Americans are going about being African-American all wrong:
Last week, Carson came under attack for comparing advocates of same-sex marriage with advocates of bestiality and the North American Man/Boy Love Association. He then cast himself as a victim of political correctness, besieged by white liberals -- "the most racist people there are" -- who could not countenance his heterodoxy and wanted to keep him on the "plantation."

The plantation metaphor refers to a popular theory on the right. It holds that the 95 percent of African-Americans who voted for a Democratic president are not normal Americans voting their beliefs, but slaves. A corollary to the plantation theory is the legend of the Conservative Black Hope, a lonesome outsider, willing to stare down the party of Obamacare and stand up for the party of voter ID. Does it matter that this abolitionist truth-teller serves at the leisure of an audience that is overwhelmingly white? Not really. Blacks are brainwashed slaves; you can't expect them to know what's in their interest.
The argument that some people are incorrectly going about the process of being who they are is a big part of the right-wing message. According to this view, the real experts are non-members of a group, or right-wing members who disagree with the shared non-right-wing perspective of the group's majority.

See, for instance, the more-Jewish-than-thou Christians memorably discussed in the recent New York Times Magazine article "Oy Vey, Christian Soldiers." These Christians bar mitzah their kids, get married under chuppahs, and wear prayer shawls. Many of them are also defenders of the most militant pro-Israel policies -- more so than many Jews in America or Israel.

Or see converts to Catholicism such as Ross Douthat who act as self-appointed Catholic purity cops, while America's cradle Catholics reject many (or all) of the doctrinal items on offer in the Church cafeteria.

A variant on this is the notion that group members think they're left-leaning, but only because they're too ignorant to notice that they're really right-leaning. That was the message of a recent David Brooks column on gay marriage titled "Freedom Loses One," which argued (though not in so many words) that gay people who fight for marriage equality are too stupid to realize that they're fighting for restraints on their autonomy, rather than freedom.

As The New Yorker's Amy Davidson wrote in response to that column,
Perhaps one should be grateful to Brooks for showing conservatives a way to support same-sex marriage while holding on to their smugness....
"Smugness" is a word that would seem to apply to a lot of the messages right-wingers send to groups they disagree with: We're right about what you need. It's you people who are complete clueless about what's best for you.
STUFF OVEREDUCATED WHITE PEOPLE COUNTERINTUITIVELY LIKE

Oh, this is embarrassing:
Glenn Beck's The Blaze is being awarded the Charles Darwin Prize by the Tribeca Film Festival for being one of the most disruptive innovations....

Along with The Blaze, others being honored are South Korean singer Psy's "Gangnam Style" video, the book "I F*cking Love Science," and the innovative city planning of Manchester, England....
This is the world of Davos, TED Talks, the Aspen Ideas Festival, etc., etc. Here are the culprits in this decision to give an award to the half-mad has-been:
The Tribeca Film Festival (TFF), in association with the Disruptor Foundation and Harvard Business School Professor Clay Christensen, father of Disruptive Innovation Theory, is pleased to announce the innovative honorees from various disciplines and domains that will be recognized at the 2013 Tribeca Disruptive Innovation Awards. The event will be hosted by NYU Stern School of Business and will take place on April 26.

Co-sponsored by Accenture with media support from The Economist....
OK, enough, enough. I got it -- this is an award from The People Who Run Everything, operating in "We're not plutocrat vultures -- we're deep thinkers" mode.

So why is Beck an honoree?
Radio and television impresario Glenn Beck has led a fascinating yet controversial career. What is not controversial is the highly disruptive innovation he has launched with The Blaze, a new and all-encompassing media source focusing on the internet and television, that may disrupt the traditional media business model. With majority ownership and accountable to his viewers and himself The Blaze is being closely watched by the media industry for its groundbreaking innovation.
You know what? The Blaze is not "highly disruptive." It's a Free Republic/Lucianne.com/Fox Nation wannabe site. It was an online-only TV channel that couldn't make it as an online-only TV channel and is now a cable channel that's probably not even offered by your provider.

So what the hell is "disruptive innovation," Professor Christensen?
Disruptive innovation, a term of art coined by Clayton Christensen, describes a process by which a product or service takes root initially in simple applications at the bottom of a market and then relentlessly moves up market, eventually displacing established competitors.
No. Sorry. Glenn Beck, when he was let go by Fox relentlessly moved down market, and he's barely recovered since. The Blaze is imitation Free Republic crossed with warmed-over Fox, run by a guy who crosses Limbaugh-style radio and Alex Jones-style radio with "morning zoo"-style radio. Calling Beck a media innovator is like calling Pat Boone a rock and roll innovator.

The hipster savants involved in this award clearly have no knowledge whatsoever of the right-wing media landscape, or they'd know how derivative everything Beck is. But why did they get the idea to give the award to Beck in the first place.

Let me venture a guess. Beck's manager is, oddly, a New York-based former Democratic operative named Matt Hiltzik. One of Hiltzik's other clients is the rather hip Miramax Films. So I assume Beck's people are responsible for putting in a good word with the hip film community. Which doesn't make this ward any less ridiculous.

(And having your agent drum up an award for you when your career is floundering? Wow, that's so innovative.)

Wednesday, April 03, 2013

WORLD NET DAILY REACTS TO THAT CONSPIRACY THEORY POLL BY SAYING, "WELL, OBAMA DOES ATTRACT A LOT OF FLIES"

I'm sure you saw Public Policy Polling's conspiracy theory survey, which told us, among other things, that "13% of voters think Barack Obama is the anti-Christ, including 22% of Romney voters." World Net Daily reviews the results of that poll, noting (among other things) that Obama looks a lot like the guy who played the devil in the History Channel miniseries The Bible -- and also noting that Obama sometimes encounters flies:
... Earlier, prophecy websites had a field day after Obama sparred with a fly, and it was reported he's had a history of attracting flies during interviews. Religious and other websites noted that a biblical term for Satan, the Semitic deity Beelzebub, literally translates from Hebrew into "Lord of the Flies."

...Obama's encounters with flies earlier drew attention.

"This guy is bothering me here," said Obama, who repeatedly swatted at a large black fly buzzing near his face during a speech.

The London Telegraph noted a White House pool report said "the president spoke for about five minutes while being menaced by a house fly."

It was not the president's first brush with a fly while the cameras were rolling. In 2010, Obama halted a speech about health care reform as a fly zipped around him. During a June 2009 CNBC interview, Obama killed a fly on camera.

During a 2008 campaign appearance, Obama halted a local interview after a swarm of flies had gathered around him....
Look, I've run across a lot of reasons why people hate or fear Barack Obama. But the fact that he occasionally has perfectly ordinary encounters with common household insects is a new one on me.
SOMEWHERE IN CLOUD-CUCKOOLAND, ALAN KEYES IS SMILING

I can't say this surprises me:
A bill filed by Republican lawmakers would allow North Carolina to declare an official religion, in violation of the Establishment Clause of the U.S. Bill of Rights, and seeks to nullify any federal ruling against Christian prayer by public bodies statewide....

"Each state in the union is sovereign and may independently determine how that state may make laws respecting an establishment of religion," it states....
Back in 2004, I told you that Alan Keyes -- who was preparing to run for the Senate in Illinois against a guy named Barack Obama -- didn't believe the Establishment Clause of the First Amendment applied to the states. In a 2003 speech at a rally to support "Ten Commandments judge" Roy Moore, Keyes said:
There might be states in which they require a religious test or oath of office. There might be states in which they have established churches, where subventions are given to schools, and so forth, to teach the Bible. There might be places where you and I might disagree with the religion some folks wanted to put in place over their communities. But guess what the Founders believed? They believed that people in their states and localities had the right to live under institutions they would put together to govern themselves according to their faith. [applause]

There is, I believe, going on right now a violation of the Constitution. There is, I believe, a lawless act against which we must stand. But it is the lawless act of the federal judges who seek now to wrest from us that liberty which is ours--not by right of the Constitution, but by grant and right of the Creator, God.
And on a radio broadcast with Focus on the Family's James Dobson, Ketes said:
Now, some people over the years have tried to use the Fourteenth Amendment as a way of saying, "Well, the whole Bill of Rights applies to the states, and, therefore, establishment or religion is forbidden at the state level and the federal judges can address this issue." But that's a lie. What happened in the First Amendment is not that it forbids establishment. It forbids the federal government even to deal with the issue of establishment, and with the Tenth Amendment, it reserves that power to the states.

So if you take the Fourteenth Amendment and say, "Now we have applied the Bill of Rights to the states," what it means that state officials have an obligation not to surrender the right of the people at the state level to decide this issue.
That seemed like a fringe-y idea then. But now Wingnuttia takes very seriously arguments such as those made by the folks at the Tenth Amendment Center:
The purpose of the "Establishment Clause" was two-fold: (1) to prohibit Congress from imposing a national religion upon the people; and (2) to prohibit Congress (and the Federal government generally) from interfering with existing church-state relations in the several States.... It was designed to promote religious freedom by forbidding Congress to prefer one religious sect over other religious sects. It was also intended, however, to assure each State that its reserved powers included the power to decide for itself, under its own constitution or bill of rights, what kind of relationship it wanted with religious denominations in the State.
Alan Keyes thinking is now pretty much mainstream in the GOP.

Justice Hugo Black, writing for the Supreme Court majority in Everson v. Board of Education (1947)? Pay no attention to him:
The "establishment of religion" clause of the First Amendment means at least this: Neither a state nor the Federal Government can set up a church. Neither can pass laws which aid one religion, aid all religions, or prefer one religion over another. Neither can force nor influence a person to go to or to remain away from church against his will or force him to profess a belief or disbelief in any religion. No person can be punished for entertaining or professing religious beliefs or disbeliefs, for church attendance or non-attendance. No tax in any amount, large or small, can be levied to support any religious activities or institutions, whatever they may be called, or whatever form they may adopt to teach or practice religion. Neither a state nor the Federal Government can, openly or secretly, participate in the affairs of any religious organizations or groups and vice versa. In the words of Jefferson, the clause against establishment of religion by law was intended to erect "a wall of separation between church and State."
I believe one or more states will pass legislation like this soon -- if not North Carolina, then some redder state. And I think it's entirely possible that if a Republican president had been elected in 2012 -- yes, even a Mormon one -- that president would have added to a solid Supreme Court majority prepared to side with Alan Keyes rather than Hugo Black on this issue, precedent be damned. Reason enough to have voted for Obama last year,
MARK SANFORD -- OR SOMEBODY IN HIS CORNER -- HAS SERIOUS POLITICAL SKILLS

I don't know if Mark Sanford is too much of a laughingstock to beat Elizabeth Colbert Busch in that South Carolina special congressional election -- I agree with Ed Kilgore that he'd do a hell of a lot better if he could somehow get ex-wife Jenny Sanford to endorse his campaign, and that he'd do better if sightings of fiancee/"soul mate" Maria Belen Chapur were kept to a minimum.

But a moment on Morning Joe today showed that someone on Sanford's side -- Sanford himself? Sanford strategists? Joe Scarborough? -- knows how to motivate the GOP base in what will probably be a low-turnout election:
Former South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford (R) on Monday admitted that he had eaten two baby pigs after using them as props to make a point about wasteful government spending.

After the Republican-controlled South Carolina legislature quickly overrode two of his budget vetoes in 2004, Sanford had walked into the Statehouse carrying two pigs -- named "Pork" and "Barrel" -- under his arms....

During a Wednesday morning MSNBC appearance to discuss his Republican primary win in South Carolina's First Congressional District, host Mika Brzezinski asked Sanford for an update on his animal pals.

"Unfortunately, they were barbecued," Sanford revealed. "They were great little guys. I hate to let you in on it." ...
Wow. That hits two wingnut pleasure centers simultaneously. Wingnuts hate government spending (they think it's 100% pork, although they will allow for the necessity of the military and their own Medicare Hoverounds) and they think eating meat is a great way of sticking it to The Man -- The Man being PETA (which they think is supported by all liberals), along with Michelle Obama and Mike Bloomberg and anyone else they think is trying to prevent them from eating whatever the hell they want whenever they want (even if it makes them too fat to get around without the use of, um, Medicare Hoverounds).

Sanford's original pig protest must have been pure catnip to wingers. (Remember how the earliest proto-tea party protests were pig-obsessed? Remember denunciations of the stimulus as "porkulus"?) So this may not be enough to neutralize Sanford's undiminished creepiness, but dropping it into the interview was a slick move.

Joe Scarborough himself sure seems to be rooting for Sanford. He hit yet another pleasure center while talking about the pig protest:





JOE SCARBOROUGH: By the way -- and this is why I've always loved Mark so much -- the punch line for me ideologically is: that was a Republican state house he went into, and it was Republicans that were spending too much money in the Senate and the House, and it was Republicans who were enraged that Mark would actually say, "I expect the same from Republican legislators as I expect from Democratic legislators."
Genius. The winger base loves that kind of talk. Whenever you see any poll showing that even Republicans don't like the Republican Party, remember that the reason they don't like their own party is that they think it's not right-wing enough.

And, of course, neither the meat-eating nor the denunciation of spending is going to alienate any moderate voters in Sanford's district. Just the opposite, I imagine.

So this Scarborough bit was a political masterpiece. It may be in a losing cause, but in isolation, it was brilliant. I wonder who dreamed it up.
GUN LOBBYIST DEFINES DEMOCRATS AS PREY

Heard on NPR this morning, in a story about President Obama's trip to Colorado to Colorado today to advocate for gun control:
... in Colorado, ... Dudley Brown runs an organization called Rocky Mountain Gun Owners....

Brown complains universal background checks are just a step towards identifying gun owners so the government can seize their weapons, and he calls the 15-bullet limit on ammunition clips arbitrary. He's promising political payback in next year's election that could cost Colorado Democrats their majorities.

"I liken it to the proverbial hunting season," Brown says. "We tell gun owners, there's a time to hunt deer. And the next election is the time to hunt Democrats."
Lovely.

****

Dudley Brown, by the way, is also the executive director of a group called the National Association for Gun Rights (NAGR). Politico notes today that NAGR, which is backed by Rand Paul, frequently attacks Republican officeholders, and even the NRA, for not being right-wing enough:
Sen. Rand Paul, the tea party favorite and possible 2016 presidential candidate, is raising money for a conservative gun rights group that's targeting fellow Republicans, including House Majority Leader Eric Cantor....

The Kentucky Republican has lent his name to fundraising pitches for the National Association for Gun Rights, a group that says the National Rifle Association is too willing to compromise on gun rights.

The group has blitzed the districts of Virginia Republicans Cantor and Rep. Scott Rigell with $50,000 worth of TV and radio ads accusing them of helping President Barack Obama pass gun control legislation.

Paul has signed emails and letters supporting NAGR efforts primarily against congressional gun control bills and the United Nations small arms treaty for about two years....
Scott Rigell has an NRA A rating. He opposes expanding background checks, and every other Obama gun proposal. But the NAGR ads attacked him for introducing a bill aimed at gun trafficking. The ads claimed this would lead to a national gun registry.

But NAGR appears to think that everything will lead to a national gun registry. The NRA supported concealed carry reciprocity bill: states that allow concealed carry of firearms would automatically have to recognize concealed carry permits from any other state. It seems to me that that would just give the state with the most porous gun laws the right to determine standards for concealed carry permits nationwide -- but NAGR said it would lead to gun registration.

As I've Googled around, I've noticed that a lot of gun lovers are suspicious of NAGR. Paulbots, however, seem to like the group.

But NAGR is obviously pushing the gun Overton window even further to the right, if such a thing is possible.

And as I said, the head guy at NAGR is encouraging gun owners to pick off Democrats like deer.

Tuesday, April 02, 2013

WAYNE LaPIERRE AND HIS TINFOIL HAT

This morning, Talking Points Memo posted the sixteen most recent covers of what the NRA describes as its "first pure news magazine," America's 1st Freedom. Here's one cover from just before the November election:





When I saw this cover, I wondered how, according the NRA's "first pure news magazine," Obama would come for NRA members' guns. Now that he's won reelection, is the article's prediction in any way realistic?

So I found the article (here and here). Is it plausible?

In a word: no.

The article's author, Dave Kopel, imagines Obama winning a narrow Electoral College victory in November 2012. Then:
Two weeks later, a pair of U.S. federal agents in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, were murdered. The killers were never apprehended, but the extensive ballistic evidence at the crime scene showed that the guns used in the murders were a .223 rifle and 9 mm pistol, both semi-automatic firearms. (Many years later, it would be revealed that those particular guns had been trafficked into Mexico as part of "Operation Fast and Furious," but this fact was not known at the time.) President Obama requested airtime from all the major TV networks to deliver a major policy address the next evening.
Let's stop right there. Two federal agents are killed on the border -- and on that pretext, the president makes a major prime-time policy address, carried on all the networks. (Apparently all of America has magically become as obsessed with border security as the the typical right-winger.)

In this address, what the president announces is nothing less than a complete rewrite of the federal government's gun laws, all to be changed via "emergency regulations" and (presumably) executive orders. From the president's speech:
"As I speak, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives is issuing emergency regulations prohibiting the import of all handguns and 'assault weapons.' Current federal laws give me the power to ban the import of firearms that are not suitable for sport, and these weapons are suitable for nothing except murder.

"As for the domestic manufacture and sale of such weapons, manufacturers and consumers will have to go through the same procedures currently applicable to machine guns and silencers. Pursuant to the National Firearms Act of 1934, the NFA, these weapons are being classified as 'destructive devices.' Legally speaking, that means that they are 'similar devices' to weapons such as grenades, rockets, missiles and bombs. As I have long said, 'assault weapons' 'belong on the battlefield of war, not on the streets of our cities.'

"I have repeatedly told you that I support the Supreme Court's decision in District of Columbia v. Heller, which upheld the Second Amendment right to own handguns. My orders fully comply with Heller. In that case, Mr. Heller sought to own a .22-cal. revolver, and the Supreme Court ruled in his favor. Thus, the ATF's new regulations will not apply to .22-cal. revolvers...."
Overnight, many previously permitted weapons have become illegal. Overnight, anyone seeking to purchase most other weapons faces high taxes and years-long waits:
Millions of people filled out the paperwork to begin their applications to purchase a handgun, a semi-auto, a 12-ga. shotgun or a muzzleloader. Those who eventually completed the process, which required a $200 transfer tax, being fingerprinted by local police and an authorization form signed by the police chief or sheriff where the person resides, received a letter from ATF that the waiting time for ATF to process the application would probably be several years.
What's more, current owners of such weapons must register, get fingerprinted, and obtain police permits. This happens in every state in the union, instantly, with no legislative input at the state or federal level.

The NRA and individual gun owners sue -- but apparently there are no competent pro-gun lawyers in America, and the all-powerful Holder Justice Department swats away the suits like so many flies. Congress tries to stop the president, but he vetoes all its bills.

The UN gets involved. The EPA gets involved. The Supreme Court (with four new Obama appointees) gets involved. Mike Bloomberg gets involved. George Soros gets involved. And soon, needless to say, there's basically no more private gun ownership in America.

****

We're told this is "a worst-case scenario ... Whether [Obama] will actually do so is, of course, unknown right now." In other words, according to the author and the NRA, this could actually happen. This is actually plausible.

This is insane. I know right-wingers enjoy this sort of apocalypse porn, but this could not possibly take place -- not without massive pushback. And it's all supposed to happen because two federal agents were killed on the border? We can barely get gun control bills passed at the federal level, or in any state apart from New York, Colorado, and (maybe) Connecticut, after 26 people, mostly little kids, were massacred in Sandy Hook.

And remember that cover line. It wasn't speculative. It was:
How and When Obama Will Come for Your Guns
This is as crazy as birtherism or 9/11 trutherism. It should be the sort of thing that gets published and read only on the fringes of society. And yet the organization that publishes this is the organization that determines America's gun agenda.

Imagine if no election law could be passed in this country without the imprimatur of a powerful lobbying organization led by Orly Taitz. Imagine if the Centers for Disease Control were powerless to respond to any epidemic in a way that ran afoul of Jenny McCarthy.

That's where we are on guns.
REPORTERS FROM POLITICO WERE OBVIOUSLY UNDERCOUNTED IN THE SURVEY SAMPLE

But ... but ... but I thought Bobby Jindal was the future of the Republican Party!
Gov. Bobby Jindal's approval rating dropped from 51 percent in October to just under 38 percent in March due to voter dissatisfaction with state fiscal and education policies, according to a poll released Tuesday....
Hunh? This must be some skewed liberal poll -- right?
The poll [was] conducted by Southern Media & Opinion Research with funding from conservative businessman Lane Grigsby....
(By the way, it says here that Jindal was at 61% approval a year ago in the same poll. From 61% to 38% in a year? That's not good.)

So why are Louisianans upset?
Jindal's tax swap plan, which would do away with income and corporate taxes in favor of higher state sales taxes, did not fare well in the poll with 63 percent opposed....

Over 60 percent of those polled were also opposed to what have become annual mid-year budget cuts to higher education and health care as well as plans to privatize most of the state's public hospitals. More than half oppose school vouchers....
In other words, what's bothering them is ... the entire right-wing policy agenda. Regressive taxation, education and health cuts, the evisceration of public schools -- who knew the public was against those things?

And yet the poll says two Republicans, Senator David Vitter and Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne, have approval ratings in the high 50s. So the notion that Republicans are the problem has not quite penetrated.

(The state's Democratic sibling act -- Senator Mary Landrieu and her brother, New Orleans mayor Mitch -- have 56% approval ratings, although the Landrieus have been in Louisiana politics forever, their dad having also been a New Orleans mayor.)

The GOP agenda always bumps up against this problem of being extremely unpopular (see also Florida, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.) Which is why, if we're ever stupid enough to elect a Republican president, House, and Senate, those SOBs are going to work to enact the agenda fast, before we know what hit us.


(Via Diane Ravitch.)
THERE GOES THE EVIDENCE FOR AN NRA TALKING POINT -- NOT THAT IT'S GOING TO BE DROPPED

The fact that Chicago has a high murder rate is one of the favorite rhetorical trump cards of the gun absolutist crowd, but it turns out that the city's murder rate is dropping:
Three months after Chicago notched the most murders in the nation, officials are touting a dramatic downturn in crime.

In the first quarter of the year, murders dropped 42 percent over the same period last year and shootings were down 27 percent -- reductions that authorities say were fueled by anti-gang initiatives.

...March, in particular, brought good news for the city and its beleaguered police force: murders down 69 percent, with 36 fewer people slain than in March 2012....
It won't matter, because math is hard, especially for right-wingers (and right-wing media outlets) determined to ignore it, so any individual Chicago murder story can still be used to "prove" that Chicago law enforcement (and therefore gun control and liberalism) is an abject failure, especially if the story stays up at the Drudge Report long enough.

And it's uncertain whether Chicago can sustain this progress, as Slate's Justin Peters noted a month ago, when good February numbers came in:
... the Chicago Police Department reported only 14 homicides this February -- half as many as last February, and the city's lowest single-month total since 1957. Police superintendent Garry McCarthy credited the drop to his decision to flood so-called crime "hot zones" with extra officers pulling overtime shifts, combined with pre-existing "area saturation teams" assigned to various high-crime districts....

McCarthy's new murder-stopping strategy incorporates elements of both data analysis and community work.... Saturation policing ... uses data to identify high-crime areas, but deploys cops who are ... theoretically accountable to the districts they're serving.

The trouble is that this strategy forces the CPD to open the overtime faucet, which the cash-strapped city can't afford to do indefinitely. (Chicago faces a $300 million budget deficit.)...
And, in fact, a recent AP story on Chicago is headlined "Chicago Homicide Rate Down, Police Overtime Surging."

I regularly read that, in the gun debate, one thing all sides agree on is the need to reduce the rate of gun violence. I disagree. I don't think the NRA agrees on this. At worst, the NRA could be said to have a vested interest in keeping the crime rate high -- crime creates fear, which sells guns; high-profile killings lead to calls for gun control, which invariably lead to a surge in gun sales. At best, the NRA is indifferent to the crime rate, except to the extent that the crime rate suits the NRA's purposes.

The NRA is not a good citizen -- if it really gave a damn about crime, it would publicly back Chicago crime-reduction initiatives, and advocate continued funding for them, even as it agreed to disagree with the city on gun laws.

But that's not what the NRA does. It's like a bratty child (albeit a bratty child with unlimited power) -- it wants what it wants and that's it, and it throws tantrums until it gets its way.

Monday, April 01, 2013

SO IF HE'D MADE 20 OUT OF 22 SHOTS...

You know about this:
President Obama was ice cold today on the basketball court.

Shooting hoops with children and Washington Wizards at the annual White House Easter Egg Roll, the president sank just two of 22 shots....
Imagine if he'd hit as many shots as he missed, and vice versa. Wouldn't right-wingers being saying now that he obviously spends way too much time practice hoops, when he should be running the country?

Well, now they'll just say he sucks at basketball because he spends too much time playing golf.
THIS WEEK IN UNSPEAKABLE COMMIE-LIB EVIL

* We are informed that there may be a link between Kim Jong-un's saber-rattling and gay marriage:
Fred Luter, the president of the Southern Baptist Convention, appeared Wednesday on TruNews with Rick Wiles, the Religious Right talk show host who is convinced President Obama is literally a demon.

After Wiles shared with Luter his theory that gay rights activists are to blame for North Korea's threats to launch a nuclear strike against the US, Luter explained that while he is "not that strong in prophecy" he would not be surprised that there might be a connection.

"I would not be surprised that at the time when we are debating same-sex marriage, at a time when we are debating whether or not we should have gays leading the Boy Scout movement, I don't think it's just a coincidence that we have a mad man in Asia who is saying some of the things that he's saying," Luter said....
* We are informed that Barack Obama's white mother trained him to hate white people:
Conservative pastor and regular Fox News guest Jesse Lee Peterson of BOND appeared on TruNews with Rick Wiles last week, where Peterson argued that Obama is "racist" against white people because his mother "hated being white."

After Wiles claimed that Obama's family "had connections to the New World Order," Peterson said Obama's mother, Ann Dunham, "hated her color" and raised Obama "not to accept that side of himself." ...
Peterson: I don't think that Obama even identifies with the white aspect of himself. His mother, she hated her color, she hated being white and I'm thinking, I don't have a whole lot of proof of this, but I do know she hated her color, hated being white. I think he may have been brought up not to accept that side of himself and that adds to him being a racist because he doesn't really respect white folks.
* We are informed that Rahm Emanuel encourages murder because he wants to grab your guns:
... Rush Limbaugh promoted the conspiracy theory that Emanuel accepts the high rate of gun homicide in that city because the violence "provide[s] an excellent backdrop to the quest for more law."

On his radio show, Limbaugh suggested that Emmanuel was not enforcing gun laws in Chicago because he's "comfortable with a certain level of violence" if it "promotes the idea we need new laws." ...
LIMBAUGH: ... If Rahm Emanuel, the mayor of Chicago, big Democrat, former chief of staff for Obama and Clinton -- you know, Wayne LaPierre said this once of Clinton, too. He said that Clinton is comfortable with a certain level of violence because it promotes the idea we need new laws. Well, the same thing is being said about Rahm Emanuel, that there's not a lot being done to stop the murders in Chicago because they provide an excellent backdrop for the quest for more law. And so people are starting to say to the media, "Why don't you ask the mayor and the president and others, why are they not enforcing existing gun laws in Chicago? Why is there no effort being made to really reduce the murder rate in Chicago? Is it because it's too useful?"

Now, that may sound horribly cynical, but there are more and more people asking that question....

(Transcript source: RushLimbaugh.com)
* And after that, the assertion that people are going to enter sham gay marriages for health benefits seems like, at worst, the fourth-craziest thing anyone's said this week:
... Sue Everhart, chairwoman of the Georgia Republican Party, told the Marietta Daily Journal in a story published Saturday that once gay nuptials are legally permitted, there will be nothing to stop a straight person from exploiting the system in order to claim marital benefits.

"You may be as straight as an arrow, and you may have a friend that is as straight as an arrow," Everhart said. "Say you had a great job with the government where you had this wonderful health plan. I mean, what would prohibit you from saying that you're gay, and y'all get married and still live as separate, but you get all the benefits? I just see so much abuse in this it's unreal. I believe a husband and a wife should be a man and a woman, the benefits should be for a man and a woman. There is no way that this is about equality. To me, it's all about a free ride."...
GUESS WHICH PARTY IS CRITICIZED ABOVE ALL FOR ITS IDEOLOGY. (HINT: IT'S NOT THE IDEOLOGICALLY MONOCHROMATIC PARTY.)

According to a new Gallup poll, the top criticism of Republicans is that they're "inflexible":
As Republican leaders openly scrutinize their party after a 2012 election that was disappointing for them, rank-and-file Republicans, independents, and Democrats voice the same primary criticism of the GOP: it is "too inflexible" or "unwilling to compromise." When asked to say what they most dislike about the Republican Party, 26% of Republicans, 17% of independents, and 22% of Democrats offer this critique -- leading all other mentions.
That's a legitimate criticism of the GOP, obviously -- but please note that this #1 answer is not a critique of any policy position associated with the party.

The #1 criticism of Democrats -- and it was #1 among Republican, Democratic, and independent respondents -- is that Democrats "Spend too much/Increase the budget deficit." So ideology (or at least perceived ideology) is the #1 reason Democrats are disliked -- but not Republicans.

Admittedly, the #2 critique of Republicans is "For the rich/Protecting the wealthy, not the middle class." But it's the only matter of ideology that's mentioned by as much as 5% of the poll sample

Here's everything that at least 5% of poll respondent criticized Republicans for. I've put the one ideological item in bold:
Republicans

Inflexible/Unwilling to compromise: 21%
For the rich/Protecting the wealthy, not the middle class: 12%
Don't stand up for their positions/Give in too easily: 9%
Inconsistent/Dishonest/Say one thing and do another: 5%
Now here's the Democratic list -- note that all the items in bold are ideological:
Democrats

Spend too much/Increase the budget deficit: 14%
Inflexible/Unwilling to compromise/Not accountable: 8%
Poor leadership/President Obama: 8%
Too focused on entitlements: 7%
Don't stand up for the common man/Misplaced priorities/Wrong ideas: 5%
Big government/Government too involved in things/Overreach: 5%
Republicans have done a good job of telling moderates and conservatives, "If you believe X, don't ever vote for a Democrat, because Democrats believe Y." Democrats -- even though Republicans seem to get more ideologically pure every day -- have done a poor job of getting persuadable voters to focus on specific unpopular Republican policy positions.

That's part of the reason the country still doesn't seem to see the GOP as way out of the mainstream. American politics isn't going to change until this changes.
CRANKY OLD MAN STRIKES A NERVE WITH CRANKY OLD PUBLIC

David Stockman's jeremiad in yesterday's New York Times was unpersuasive to people who know something about economics more or less across the political spectrum, but it's connecting with a large chunk of the public: the op-ed is currently the Times's most e-mailed article, and is the second-most e-mailed article of the past week. Stockman's forthcoming book, The Great Deformation -- due to be released tomorrow -- is at #10 on Amazon's bestseller list.

And no, this isn't a right-wing publisher pushing the book up the list with bulk buys. (Stockman's publisher, PublicAffairs, is not right-wing, or previously known for that sort of bulk buying.)

The Stockman op-ed isn't purely right-wing anyway. Paul Krugman denounced the op-ed as
cranky old man stuff, the kind of thing you get from people who read Investors Business Daily, listen to Rush Limbaugh, and maybe, if they’re unusually teched up, get investment advice from Zero Hedge.
But the usual suspects on the right aren't rallying around Stockman. Only a few right-wing blogs are citing him. He wasn't linked at Fox Nation. At Free Republic, the response to Stockamn is muted. There's nothing at the Investor's Business Daily op-ed page (which is like the Wall Street Journal op-ed page, except even more right-leaning). I don't expect a rave review from Limbaugh.

It's obvious why the hardcore right-wingers wouldn't embrace Stockman's message: he's obsessed with debt, and he makes the obvious point that Saint Reagan increased our debt. He praises Glass-Steagall (one of the few government interventions in the economy he actually likes). He says the current system "periodically lavishes the top 1 percent with speculative windfalls" (as if that's a bad thing!).

Stockman's message is probably connecting with Ron Paul fans -- he's against "crony capitalism" but also the New Deal; he opposes Too Big to Fail but also federal deposit insurance for small savers.

I guess there are a lot of people who respond to that message rather than the pure Limbaugh/Fox message. But I wish the people moved by this message would fight as hard to require big banks to face real risk from speculative investments as they do to, say, end the Fed!!! Alas, no -- the part of this that really moves them is the denunciation of "big government." So they're useful idiots for the GOP.