Sunday, November 11, 2012

AT LEAST DICK MORRIS ADMITTED HE PERSONALLY SCREWED UP

Frank Luntz told Fox News that pollsters who predicted a Romney victory should be ashamed of themselves:
Leading up to the election, some pollsters were predicting that Mitt Romney would be the winner. With President Obama taking Florida today, the final electoral count comes in at 332 for Obama and 206 for Romney. Pollster Frank Luntz appeared on America's News HQ to answer what changed between the final polls and Election Day.

It turns out that the published polls that the Romney campaign and the Republican establishment were discrediting were accurate, acknowledged Luntz. ...

Luntz said, " ... This is a bad day for establishment pollsters and it's something that they should be held accountable for. You have to tell your clients the truth and you have to be accurate."

To miss so many states should cause outrage, said Luntz, adding that key battleground states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania were never in favor of Romney....
Yes -- they should be held accountable! If they missed so many states, that should cause outrage!

Frank Luntz is right to call them out, especially given how much more accurate his predictions were!

Er....

October 20, 2012:
Republican pollster Frank Luntz is ready to "take Florida off the Swing State list" and put it in Gov. Mitt Romney's column.

The latest Fox News polls released Friday show Romney has a 3 percentage point lead in the Sunshine State. That's an 8-point reversal and an 8-point increase for Romney, compared to polls essentially prior to the first presidential debate, Oct. 3.

When focusing on the state's most interested voters, Romney's advantage expands to 11 points over President Obama. Luntz tells Fox News' "America's News Headquarters" those number are just too strong to consider Florida still up for grabs....
October 22, 2012:
Speaking to the critical status of the swing states, Luntz said they are still up for grabs.

"Ohio is in play, Wisconsin is in play and if any candidate wins both of those states, they're the next president of the United States ... It's not about 50 states, it's about two," he said.
October 29, 2012:
AMERICANS are not legally allowed to bet on US elections -- we'd have to use a British bookmaker.

Thanks to your bookies, this American is preparing to make a lot of money.

If the British public currently think Barack Obama is coasting to victory in the November 6 election, they are gravely mistaken.

Mitt Romney can win this election. No doubt about it....

The polling data says it all. Obama led in 29 of 31 national polls taken during the four weeks leading up to the first debate.

Today Romney is up a point or two on Obama. The momentum is with Romney. In the last 20 years, the candidate with the best October almost always won in November.
November 6, 2012 (predictions coauthored by Chris Kofinis and Frank Luntz):
Frank thinks Virginia ends up in the GOP camp this time....

Word to the wise: Wisconsin polling has notoriously underestimated GOP turnout, and it's possible Wisconsin could surprise everyone on Election Day....

[Colorado] should break Romney's way....
Give Dick Morris credit -- he said flat out that he was wrong. Luntz is saying other people were wrong. No, Frank -- you were wrong.

2 comments:

Victor said...

That them thar's some CHOOOOOOOOOTspah!!!

Pot, meet kettle, putz!

Yastreblyansky said...

Thanks to your bookies, this American is preparing to make a lot of money.

If the British public currently think Barack Obama is coasting to victory in the November 6 election, they are gravely mistaken.


I hope Luntz put up a nice big bet. I remember looking at the UK odds during the Nate Silver kerfuffle. They pretty much agreed with Silver. Anybody dumb enough to make a bet like that isn't safe in capitalist society, they need protection.