Biden's second-worst demographic - not relative to expectations, but OVERALL - is the highly liberal 18-34 age group. 21% approve. He's 47 points underwater. And yet DC still reflexively assumes moderation is the cure, rather than the cause, of the problem https://t.co/iPNTOqMFZ9 pic.twitter.com/i0UBDdHawj
— Will Stancil (@whstancil) April 13, 2022
This is a problem:
People need to understand that the Democrats are only viable as a political party because of voters under 44. https://t.co/Xatyb5FuFL
— Jeet Heer (@HeerJeet) April 18, 2022
Older people have higher turnout -- but a majority of us older folks vote Republican. The young gave Biden the win in 2020, according to the exit polls:
So Democrats have lost the youth vote, right? Actually, it's not Democrats -- it's just President Biden. Here's a result from a Quinnipiac poll released a week before the poll with Biden's terrible youth numbers:
When respondents are asked about congressional control, Democrats' best age group is voters 18 to 34. The young want Democratic control of Congress by a 50%-to-35% margin. Every other age bracket wants Republican control.
So the young are disappointed in Biden. That's a problem for him in 2024, but it might not be as much of a 2022 problem as we're assuming. The young aren't moving to the right -- unlike every other age cohort. They haven't fallen for the notion that the GOP can be trusted. I'm not sure Democrats can get them to turn out in large numbers, but I'm sure Republicans can't.
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