Kerry's up by 1 in the Harris poll, Kerry and Bush are neck-and-neck in the Pew poll, Bush is up by 1 (likely voters) or 2 (registered voters) in the American Research Group poll ... and (scroll down) Bush is up by 14 in the Gallup poll?
Screwy. But no screwier than 2000, when Gallup had Gore up by 10 on September 20 and Fox had the race dead even a day later. This pattern persisted: On October 26, Reuters/MSNBC had Gore up by 2 and Gallup had Bush up by 13. So take 'em all with a grain of salt.