Tuesday, July 30, 2019

NEWS THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA WON'T PRINT: WHITE HEARTLAND VOTERS COME IN TWO GENDERS

Ricochet's Jon Gabriel isn't really part of the mainstream media, but here he's saying what many members of the MSM believe, even if it's partly a critique of their own colleagues:
Dems, Media Keep Handing the Narrative to Trump

OMG! Did you see what Trump tweeted?! Democrats, presidential candidates, and journalists losing their minds over the President’s Twitter feed is hardly new, but the past week has been illuminating. It also spells trouble for those trying to unseat him in 2020.

About a week ago, Trump attacked Ilhan Omar and the rest of her America-bashing squad with a rude “send her back” tweet. The next few days were dominated by screams of racist, misogynist, and Islamophobic. After the great Mueller fizzle, Trump blasted Baltimore as a rat- and crime-infested mess run by Democrats unwilling to improve it. Two more days screaming racist, un-American, and anti-urban. On Monday morning, Trump mocked Al Sharpton, leading to a day screaming racist, un-American, and anti-tracksuits-with-medallions.

There’s much to criticize about anyone, let alone a president, constantly flinging personal insults. It’s uncivil, tacky, and just not done. But, damn, if it isn’t politically effective.

What else has the political world talked about in the past week? Mueller and impeachment got 24 hours. Anyone discussing Kamala Harris? No. In fact, she’s lost her poll bump from the last debate. How about Biden? Haven’t seen him. Warren, Buttigieg, Beto? Nada....

What’s odd is that the Democrats and the media are helping Trump to control the news cycle. If Trump’s a rageaholic, the Beltway left are his enablers.
Gabriel insists that Trump dominating the news cycle equals Trump winning. That notion just goes unexamined in his piece. But is it true?

No, it isn't. Look at Trump's approval average at Real Clear Politics. On July 19, his disapproval number was 6.6 points higher than his approval number. Yesterday -- ten days later -- it was 9.9. That's a 50% increase in net disapproval in ten days.

Why isn't it working? Matt Drudge understands -- this morning he's featuring an AP story about Trump and female voters in the suburbs:
Suburban women recoil as Trump dives into racial politics

BROOKFIELD, Wis. (AP) — Carol Evans approves of Donald Trump’s immigration policy. She gives him credit for the strong economy. But the Republican from the affluent Milwaukee suburbs of Waukesha County, a GOP bedrock in the state, just can’t commit to voting for the president next year like she did in 2016.

“I just don’t like the way he talks about other people,” Evans, a 79-year-old retired data entry supervisor, said recently as she walked through a shopping mall in Brookfield, Wisconsin, days after Trump fired off a racist tweet at Democratic congresswomen....

In more than three dozen interviews by The Associated Press with women in critical suburbs, nearly all expressed dismay — or worse — at Trump’s racially polarizing insults and what was often described as unpresidential treatment of people. Even some who gave Trump credit for the economy or backed his crackdown on immigration acknowledged they were troubled or uncomfortable lining up behind the president.
Drudge highlights some quotes:



And there's this from The Washington Post's Greg Sargent, one of the few MSM pundits who resists the Trump's-an-evil-genius narrative:
Blue-collar white women are turning on Trump

... data provided to me by Quinnipiac does appear to suggest the possibility that this demographic is getting driven away from Trump.

The poll finds that among overall registered voters, 54 percent say they will “definitely not” vote for Trump in 2020, vs. 32 percent who definitely will, and 12 percent who will consider voting for him. Among non-college-educated whites, 45 percent said they will definitely vote for him, vs. 41 percent who say they will definitely not vote for him.

That last number seemed like a large percentage of non-college-educated whites who definitely won’t vote for Trump. So I asked Quinnipiac for a further breakdown, and here it is:



That’s striking: A bare plurality of non-college-educated white women say they will definitely not vote for Trump. (It’s also worth noting the extreme depth of alienation from Trump among college-educated white women: More than 6 in 10 say they definitely won’t vote for him.)

... once again, per the data Quinnipiac sent me, [Trump's disapproval rate among blue-collar voters] is driven by women:



That’s also striking: A bare plurality of non-college-educated white women disapprove of Trump. (And again, the depth of alienation among college-educated white women is really something to behold.)
Believers in Trump's political genius think he wins every time he riles up his base. But as I keep telling you, the people who love Trump -- a group that's disporoportionately male -- were already riled up. They can't vote for him more times that they were already planning to. And while there are plenty of women at Trump's rallies, he's alienating the ones who have been on the fence about him, and who may have supported him reluctantly in 2016.

Of course all those retired men in ball caps at rural Rust Belt diners love this divisive Trump rhetoric. But that's not proof that Trump is winning. There are two genders in Trumpistan. Someone should alert the media.


No comments: