Sunday, September 10, 2023

PRESIDENT BIDEN, HUNTING WHERE THE DUCKS PROBABLY AREN'T

On Thursday, David Brooks wrote:
America has had a net gain of 530,000 manufacturing jobs since January 2017. The manufacturing boom has been torrid of late. Since late 2021, investment in the construction of manufacturing facilities has more than doubled.

Much of that boom is happening in the Mountain West, the Upper Midwest and parts of the Southeast. Chips, electric vehicles, renewable energy sources and batteries are being manufactured in places like Michigan, Kentucky, Minnesota and Arizona.

... Since 2011, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, wage growth has “accelerated more for high school graduates than for college graduates.”

... According to the Treasury Department, over 80 percent of the investment made through the Inflation Reduction Act is going to counties with college graduation rates lower than the national average. Nearly 90 percent of investments are being made in counties with below-average weekly wages.
Joe Biden's campaign and his top super PAC are touting the president's pro-blue-collar policies in early ads:
The most-aired of the two new Future Forward USA Action ads that debuted Friday is a spot highlighting Biden’s economic record. “Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act and CHIPS Act are keeping jobs in America and bringing jobs back to America,” says a man wearing an IBEW T-shirt and IDed on screen as “James C.”
I can't embed the ad, but here's James C.:



But will people who look like James C. respond to Biden's advertising? I keep thinking about a New York Times story I read in 2016:
ELKHART, Ind. — Seven years ago President Obama came to this northern Indiana city, where unemployment was heading past 20 percent, for his first trip as president. Ed Neufeldt, the jobless man picked to introduce him, afterward donned three green rubber bracelets, each to be removed in turn as joblessness fell to 5 percent in the county, the state and the nation.

It took years — in 2012, Mr. Neufeldt lamented to a local reporter that he might wear his wristbands “to my casket” — but by last year they had all come off. Elkhart’s unemployment rate, at 3.8 percent, is among the country’s lowest, so low that employers here in the self-described R.V. capital of the world are advertising elsewhere for workers, offering sign-up bonuses, even hiring from a local homeless shelter.

... Yet where is Mr. Neufeldt leaning in this presidential election year? ... he is considering Donald J. Trump.

“I like the way he just won’t take nothing off of nobody,” Mr. Neufeldt said....

Few people here are thanking [Obama] for their recovery....

Instead, it is Mr. Trump who is making the impression.... Recently a high school basketball game west of here drew national attention after students hoisted Trump signs and taunted “Build that wall!” at fans from the rival, heavily Latino school.
Obama lost Elkhart County in 2008, but it wasn't a blowout: John McCain got 55% of the vote, while Obama won 44%. Then in 2012 it was Mitt Romney 62%, Obama 36%. In 2016, after that big drop in unemployment under Obama, it was Trump 64%, Hillary Clinton 32%. Biden did better in 2020, but not by much: Trump 63%, Biden 35%.

Early Biden ads have a lot of blue-collar imagery, but the focus isn't always on white male workers. One ad focuses on a female cement mason, another on Hispanic workers, another on the slightly bro-ish owner of a manufacturing firm:



Maybe the first two of those ads will reach a more receptive audience than the ads aimed at blue-collar white guys. Maybe college-educated voters will find the owner relatable. But overall, I question whether this is a worthwhile effort.

I know that Biden's people don't expect to turn predominantly white blue-collar towns blue -- they just want to peel off a few votes here and there, hoping it adds up in swing states. But I think their money would be better spent focusing on the liberal and moderately liberal base. Early Biden ads also focus on abortion, the climate, healthcare costs, and GOP policies favoring the wealthy. That's good. Biden needs to motivate the people who can help him get reelected during the campaign. He needs to inspire Black voters, suburban women, young people, and liberal-leaning retirees. I think he'll get more out of ads aimed at them than he will from ads aimed at white laborers who'll never vote for him.

Saturday, September 09, 2023

DONALD TRUMP, HUMBLE BARD OF THE WORKING CLASS

A YouTuber named Master Ziikos remixed and edited Oliver Anthony's "Rich Men North of Richmond" so it looks as if Donald Trump is the vocalist. The clip isn't truly viral in the way the original song was -- it has 281,000 views on YouTube after nine days -- but why would anyone respond to it?



Here are the opening lyrics:
I've been sellin' my soul, workin' all day / Overtime hours for bullshit pay / So I can sit out here and waste my life away / Drag back home and drown my troubles away.

It's a damn shame what the world's gotten to / For people like me and people like you / Wish I could just wake up and it not be true / But it is, oh, it is.
Is that really how Trump fans see him? As a guy who's working "overtime hours for bullshit pay"? Don't they believe he's one of the richest men in the world?

But it's been clear since 2015 that they really believe he's one of them -- or that he's a rich guy who could have continued his life of ease, but he generously gave all that up in order to save America because he's so goshdarn patriotic.
These rich men north of Richmond / Lord knows they all just wanna have total control
They apparently don't see Trump as a rich man who lives, or used to live, north of Richmond -- or they do see him that way, but they don't really have a problem if he aspires to "total control."
I wish politicians would look out for miners / And not just minors on an island somewhere
Um...



On the subject of Jeffrey Epstein, I know that many people just retreat to their corners and talk only about the political enemies who hung out with him. Democrats don't talk about Bill Clinton. Republicans don't talk about Trump. But I don't think even a Bill Clinton fan (are there still Bill Clinton fans?) would create a video in which he lip-synced this verse about Epstein. Even Clinton admirers know he's made some very bad choices in the personal realm. Trump fans, not so much.

But I guess anything that seems to own the libs gets this response on the right, even if it makes no sense. Gateway Pundit posted the video a couple of days ago. Here are some comments:
SO GREAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!THEY'LL NEVER KILL OUR SPIRIT OR OUR JOY

****

We'll ALWAYS be the fun crowd and they'll always be the LOSERS!

****

The one thing the globalists and the Democrats hate the most is MAGA having fun, enjoying life and rallying with and for DJ Trump! They don't want MAGA to be happy.
More
Trump has another #1 hit!

****

All of his hits are grassroots(from the people) This just shows he is the peoples president.
(Trump's previous hit song was a rendition of "The Star-Spangled Banner" sung by a chorus of January 6 prisoners, with an overdub of Trump reciting the Pledge of Allegiance. It hit #1 on the iTunes chart back in March. As we learned last month from a New York Times story about Oliver Anthony's chart success, most people don't download songs from iTunes anymore, so if right-wingers purchase downloads while everyone else is streaming the real hits, the downloaded songs can appear more popular than they are.)

Maybe the fans don't really see Trump as a working-class hero -- they see him as a rock star singing a hit song. Either way, they think he's amazing:
Instant GOLD...!!!

DJT is basically 'Superman' minus the Flying.

May God Protect him in all ways...
They understand he had nothing to do with making thids video, right? Maybe they don't. Mayb e they don't care.

Friday, September 08, 2023

SO WHY WASN'T TRUMP IMPEACHED FOR EMOLUMENTS?

Thank you, Yas, for a great post yesterday. I especially appreciate it for the reference to the emoluments clauses in the Constitution, which Donald Trump violated throughout his presidency. I don't know why he was given a pass for that but was impeached for Ukraine. Maybe it was because his dealings with Ukraine defied Congress, or maybe it's because geopolitcs is seen as "serious" in a way that corruption isn't. I know that Nancy Pelosi resisted impeachment for a long time, and the emoluments-clause violations were there from the outset of Trump's presidency, whereas the Ukraine shakedown happened well into Trump's term. I also think Trump's presidential profiteering seemed too much like garden-variety political corruption -- maybe the thinking was If we declare something like this a crime, how many of us would be considered criminals?

It's a shame, because much of America struggled to understand the point of the first impeachment, whereas an emoluments impeachment would have been extremely easy for ordinary citizens to grasp: If you use your status as president to cash in, that's illegal. Simple. Relatable. It's like stealing from the cash register. And he was allowed to get away with it.

Wednesday, September 06, 2023

Our McGyver Constitution

 

Illustration by George Cruikshank, via.

Once upon a time there were three brothers, the youngest one called America, and one day America was out in the forest chopping wood, and when he knocked off for a lunch break, bread and cheese and a pint of beer, a little man appeared next to him looking hungry. So America shared his lunch with the little man, and when they were done the little man said, "Hi, I'm Jemmy Madison, and if you dig under the root system of that sugar maple over there you'll find a nice little gift from me, in thanks for your hospitality," and wandered away.

So America dug, and sure enough there was a whole Constitution, stuffed with stuff America would be able to use when he went out to seek his fortune! I won't tell the whole story of how many scrapes that Constitution got him out of (I will note that the oldest brother Britannia said, "I don't need no stupid constitution" and the middle brother Francia said, "One lousy constitution? I'm going to need at least five!") but in the climax, when he's been all but defeated by a treacherous and tasteless orange-faced villain, when he thinks of looking for help one more time in the good old Constitution, and it turns out there's this little apparently useless trinket right there in the 14th Amendment, Section 3, that says or at least suggests it's illegal for treacherous villains to run for president, so hahaha, Mr. Orange-Face, you cheated last time around so this time you're not allowed to play! Go eat salted dicks!

I'm not sure what I hate most about this latest please-God-save-us-from-Trump proposal, but it's probably the idea that we can get rid of Trump without doing any work—that there's this little totally scientific doohickey in our McGyver Constitution toolbox that does it for us, automatically, for free. As if that's what a constitution were, a collection of old screws from old projects for which a use might turn up some day.

Or maybe it's the suddenness with which the legal eagles have developed this concern for the constitutionality of Trumpery:

I never feel I've been able to convey why I feel so strongly about Trump's emolument misconduct beginning on Day One (the day after Trump settled the class action fraud suit by 7000 Trump University students with a $25 million payment) of his presidency, when he fired Norman Dong, acting administrator of the General Services Administration, which had held that the language in the lease of Trump's Pennsylvania Avenue hotel saying it could not be held by any governmental official meant that it could not be held by any government official including the president of the United States, and replaced him with Tim Horne, the official who had coordinated the agency's transition with the Trump team, leaving Trump in possession of the hotel, full at that very moment, as it would be for much of the next four years, with the representatives and agents of foreign governments, drinking the president's health with the president's cronies and operatives and pouring cash into the presidential coffers. While at least four foreign governments (from Qatar, China, India, and United Arab Emirates) rented premises from Trump, the state owned Industrial and Commercial Bank of China occupying two floors in Manhattan's Trump Tower where they didn't seem to be doing any business, for something like $2 million per year, and that's saying nothing about all the hotel space booked by foreign governments, especially notoriously Saudi Arabia ($270,000 in December 2016 alone, not long before Trump decided to make the Kingdom the destination of his first overseas trip as president, instead of the more conventional Canada or United Kingdom).

Tuesday, September 05, 2023

YES, LEAVING AGAIN

I'll be away for the next couple of days, but Yastreblyansky says he'll have something to say, so stop by. See you on Friday.

Monday, September 04, 2023

IT'S A CULT, BUT IS IT A TRUMP CULT?

A few days ago, Peter Sagal, the host of Wait, Wait ... Don't Tell Me!, published a piece in The Atlantic titled "The End Will Come for the Cult of MAGA." Sagal believes it's clear that Trumpism is a cult. He writes:
Steven Hassan, [a] former cult member ... published his book The Cult of Trump in 2019.... Hassan told me that the MAGA movement checks all the boxes of his “BITE” model of cult mind control—behavior, information, thought, and emotional control. Like all cult leaders, he argues, Trump restricts the information his followers are allowed to accept; demands purity of belief (beliefs that can change from moment to moment, as per his whims and needs); and appeals to his followers through the conjuring of primal emotions—not just fear but also joy.
But is the MAGA cult strictly a Trump cult, with Donald Trump as the stereotypical cult leader, or is it a cult of rightism, with multiple leaders, and in some ways leaderless?

Recall that long before Trump entered electoral politics, right-wingers were practicing mind control on themselves: surveys showed that while liberals trusted a range of news sources, right-wingers overwhelmingly trusted Fox News above all other outlets, though they also trusted Rush Limbaugh and other radio talkers. As for demanding purity of belief even when the "correct" beliefs change, consider the fact that a generation ago it was considered heresy on the right to question the necessity of the Iraq War, whereas now the war is seen as an evil scheme foisted on America by "globalists" like George W. Bush. (Respect for the Bush family has followed a similar arc on the right. Right-wingers despise Dubya and his family now, and never acknowledge that they once regarded him as a demigod.)

Sagal tells us that Steven Hassan sees the Trump cult affiliating with other movements to extend its own reach:
In the four years since the publication of The Cult of Trump, Hassan believes, the movement has gained strength through de facto alliances with other “authoritarian cults” such as QAnon, as well as with groups like the Council for National Policy, a secretive networking organization of powerful conservatives, and the New Apostolic Reformation, a theological movement calling for Christian dominion over politics. The danger is metastasizing, Hassan said, thanks primarily to digital and social media, which take the place of sermons and indoctrination sessions. “We’re on our phones 10 hours a day. People are up all night getting fed YouTube videos,” he said. “You don’t need a compound anymore.”
I don't think a compound was necessary even before Trump came along -- all you needed was basic cable for Fox and an AM radio for Rush and the Rush wannabes. Now, when even Fox is considered suspect by some cultists, what you need is a device that allows you to a follow a broad range of right-wing influencers and podcast hosts. And if the cult has such a large number of leaders, then maybe it isn't a traditional cult at all, and Sagal's conclusion -- that Trumpism will die out when Trump cultists die, because the young aren't into him -- may not be correct. Or, to be more precise, the Trump cult might die but the right-wing cult might live on, led by some combination of Steve Bannon and Christopher Rufo and Jack Posobiec and Marjorie Taylor Greene and Candace Owens and Elon Musk and Andrew Tate and Moms for Liberty and dozens of other people who aren't Trump.

I'm reminded of our discovery, sometime during the post-9/11 era, that terrorism was being inspired not directly by charismatic leaders of Al-Qaeda or ISIS, but more immediately by lesser-known online influencers. The behavior of the followers was cult-like, but it seemed like cultural worship of certain ideas (and violent tactics) rather than worship of Osama bin Laden or Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. That, in a somewhat less violent form, is what we've had on the American right for years, even if it looks like a personality cult now. When Trump is gone, I think rightism will revert to being the kind of non-personality cult it used to be, with a wide range of gurus taking Trump's place. It might not be the MAGA cult, but it will still be dangerous.

Sunday, September 03, 2023

JIMMY BUFFETT, STALINIST NAZI

Jimmy Buffett died this past week, and Breitbart gave him a conventional sendoff:
Singer-songwriter Jimmy Buffett, who popularized beach bum soft rock with the escapist Caribbean-flavored song “Margaritaville” and turned that celebration of loafing into an empire of restaurants, resorts and frozen concoctions, has died. He was 76.
There's no mention of politics in the obituary. But Buffett was a Democrat, a fact that turns Breitbart's commenters insane with rage:
Loved his music. Detested his politics. I also hate that even in death he will continue to vote democrat.

****

Buffett did MAJOR fundraisers for the Democrats. PRIVATE FUNDRAISERS, with MAJOR donors. With entertainers like Buffett, EVERYTHING was about politics. Demented liberal politics.

****

He was a defiantly liberal lunatic.

****

... left wing totalitarianism is the issue. The left's belief that they should be able to dictate to others how to live their life and the left's repressive demand that they should be able to stamp out all dissent ARE THE MAIN THREATS TO THIS COUNTRY.

****

I liked Jimmy Buffett, but you can't say he wasn't a rabid left-wing democrat. With him, it WAS about politics.

****

I guess you've never heard him when he's not singing. He's a far-left America-hating, God-hating, Trump-hating ultra communist. And now he's complaining that there are no margaritas in hell.

****

He went political a while ago, but in 2016, he lost his damn mind!!! Maybe kept politics out of his music, but not out of his concerts. And for a guy so Hellbent against Capitalism, he amassed a fortune of 4.8 billion dollars.

****

That’s like Springsteen. His early stuff was great. But then Born to Run started bringing in the money and he suddenly started filling his music (and life) with liberal (pronounced evil’) songs and activities. I don’t listen to any of his stuff post-Born to Run.
Jimmy kept politics out of most of his music but constantly espoused his leftist opinions.
Amusing how it’s always after they make millions that celebrities start pushing leftist crap on the public.
If all these millionaire and billionaire celebrities gave 20% of their wealth to end poverty, America would be much more “equitable”... until the losers the rescued from poverty spent all their money, turned their homes into slums and went back to robbing and murdering.

****

Taylor Swift. she's almost a billionaire at 33 and is so liberal

****

I wish TDS [Trump Derangement Syndrome] had a much higher fatality rate.

****

And he reportedly required that his concert-goers either be jabbed or tested. That suggests that he, also, got jabbed. Oh well.

****

Oh yeah, I forgot about that. That's one of the reasons he was such a douchebag -- not only was he a far-left communist who hated America, but he was also a China Virus Vaccine Nazi.

****

Could be what led to his death. I had to get two jabs for work. Got Covid 7-9 weeks after each jab. Took me over a year to recover from the omicron variant. Brain didn't work correctly, couldn't remember songs, etc.
Government at its worst!!!

****

That was when my husband ceased to be a Parrothead.

****

He did fund raisers for Stacey Abrams in GA and Andrew Gillum in FL. That says all you need to know about him, another multi-millionaire hypocrite.

****

I didn’t realize he was a lefty. Too bad. How s h i tt y to die a lefty. He should’ve gone to confession.

****

Another pedo(Andrew Gillum) fan and Trump Hater is gone
Won't Miss Him

****

Wasted away much to long in Bidenritaville. good riddance..

****

... Any celebrity who engages in political causes (and Buffett was one) can be considered a political figure.
It is the left end of the political spectrum that began the DEHUMANIZATION of political opponents. It is the left that engaged in Stalinism, Leninism, Naziism and the resultant political persecutions, tortures, mass starvations and genocide throughout the 20th century.
For God’s sake, read a book

****

... Trump's going to win for the third time in 2024, Biden's going to go to prison for the rest of his short life, and leftists will continue to froth at the mouth like the psychotic lunatics they are. Life is great.
Will political comments sections on the left be like this when Clint Eastwood dies? Maybe, although there might be more reason for that, given the fact that Eastwood actually spoke at a Republican convention in prime time. In any case, this Breitbart tunnel vision is sad -- and it would be nice if these folks could learn the difference between liberalism and communism. But that will never happen, will it?

Saturday, September 02, 2023

ALL THE COOL KIDS WANT TO BE ASSASSINATION TARGETS

Hi, I'm back. Thank you, Yas -- I hope you beat the greedheads and get better soon.

So I told you last week that Tucker Carlson has been describing Donald Trump as a likely assassination target. Now we have a Russian media figure claiming that Carlson could be assassinated:
On Thursday, Russia’s most prominent propagandist, Vladimir Solovyov, ... predicted that soon there might be another potential victim: former Fox News host and current X (formerly Twitter) podcaster Tucker Carlson....

In a series of clips from Adam Carolla’s YouTube show that were hand-selected for Solovyov’s program, Carlson accused both Republicans and the Democrats of being “insane” and hysterical, predicting that a war between the U.S. and Russia would start next year.

Solovyov theatrically asked, “Who says that? A dead man walking! He sincerely believes that the next step after the accusations and the declaration of impeachment will be an assassination of Trump. But this man, who is currently the most popular English-speaking journalist, signed his own death warrant!”
For Solovyov, this is speculative whataboutism -- he said this at a time when Russians are talking about the death of Wagner Group chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, undoubtedly at Vladimir Putin's behest. Solovyov's message: You think Putin had Prigozhin killed? Well, the American Establishment wants to kill Donald Trump and Tucker Carslson!

Solovyov said Carlson would be an assassination target if he succeeded in his effort to arrange an interview with Putin:
... Solovyov predicted dire consequences that would follow Carlson’s persistent attempts to score a sit-down with the Russian president: “I can’t rule out that in the near future, as he is leaving Europe, there will either be an air crash or something will happen to the car in which he will be traveling, or he might eat something that he shouldn’t, maybe his heart will suddenly stop! If I were in his place, I would tell no one of my travel routes.”
Alex Jones sees all this going on and he's jealous. Trump and Carlson aren't the only assassination targets! He's an assassination target, too!


ALEX JONES: ... we're in the season, we're in the time of assassination. So it goes without saying, in a globalist coup, the top of the execution list is Donald Trump, Tucker Carlson, Alex Jones, and, because the system trying to push around other people didn't work, Joe Rogan.
This is preposterous, obviously -- but notice who's on the list: In addition to Trump, it's three broadcasters. Jones is telling his audience that the "globalists" don't want to kill anyone (apart from Trump) who actually does anything -- no legislators, no Supreme Court justices, no Elon Musk. Jones's list is aimed at people who consume right-wing media all day and believe that right-wing media is the center of counterrevolutionary power because right-wing media is their entire world. I'm tempted to include Trump in this category -- his superfans say they think he was a great president, but I think what they liked most about him was the way he talked trash, not anything he did in the realm of governance. Well, maybe they loved his cruelty to immigrants. But mostly what they seemed to like was the way he performed as president, not the way he governed.

Putin benefits from this assassination conspiracy theory because the theory persuades his fans (here and in Russia) that Establishment figures in America and Europe are political murderers, too -- everyone does it, so if Putin does it, so what?Carlson and Jones are doing Putin's work, but they're also persuading their domestic audience that the anti-Trump U.S. Establishment is guilty of crimes that haven't even happened yet. Establishhment Republicans might not like Trump, or Carlson or Jones, but in 2024 they'll benefit from the anger this conspiracy theory is stirring up.

Thursday, August 31, 2023

Public Options

  

After I was taken from the subway station where I'd fallen down a flight of steps and broken my left femur to a well-known East Side hospital a couple of weeks ago (saga here, here, and here, I stayed in the intensive care unit while they were readying me for surgery and then got moved to an ordinary unit after the surgery was done, and was dismissed a couple of days after that, in what felt like a rush job. I had to coordinate my exit myself, via text, with various family members, and negotiate the wheelchair ride to outside with nurses who had mostly disappeared, get dressed (another nurse brought me a pair of sweat pants, my leg being much too swollen to fit in the jeans my son brought from home), and nobody seemed available to answer any questions about what the rest of my life was going to be like, or even the next few days. Then, as the kids and I waited for their mother to show up, the wheelchair-wallah got antsy—it was taking too long, and he was afraid of getting in trouble for keeping the wheelchair—with me sitting in it—too long. He suggested I should get out and stand there with my new walker, or maybe if I got too tired I could sit down on one of the 18-inch round stone objects with which the pavement was dotted, which I obviously couldn't.


So I ended up surrendering, and standing to wait for my ride to show up, which was maybe not so bad (not as bad as the horror of getting into and out of the car with the kids trying to swing the leg into position). I'll never know if the guy was reprimanded for bringing the chair back late, maybe even fired, for all I know, or if his anxiety was merely irrational, as it seemed.

It's a week since then, and the whole experience is taking on a different complexion in my memory, starting from that spot and working backwards (so that the apparently harmless events of the early part are seen to foreshadow the abandonment at the end), than it had at first, in a way that's maybe relevant to some ideas that have been floating around the Tubes in the last few days. 

Everybody I interacted most with—the nurses and physical therapists—was kind, competent, and respectful, but these relationships weren't very stable; few lasted longer than a shift, day or night. The others were still more fleeting, especially in the upper orders, social workers and doctors, of whom I never met one twice, never got a name or an offer to call, never got an effort to connect (except one of the anethesiologists, they always have a sense of humor), and at the top of the hierarchy groups of four or five from which no individuals emerged at all, except a chairman charged with the job of speaking for them, a "team", and where they mostly gave me the neurological test (name, birthdate, and "where are you?" "what year is it?"). I finally lost my temper with one of them: "What are you, tourists?" That chairman took it courteously, explained that they were the "Trauma Team", monitoring my case, and that they thought I was ready to leave. I apologized and thanked him, but I feel funny about it now.

Afterwards, I found that there was a lot of stuff I didn't know that I should have been told (almost certainly was told in many of the cases, I'm sure, but by teams rather than people). What was the prognosis? How long would it take? When would I hear from my home PT? When I talked to a firm, why didn't they call back? This was coming out actually worse than Frank had warned: instead of worrying about the contractual terms I was worried about whether I'd ever see one at all, getting no convincing clues on who to call. Finally, on a visit to the hospital's occupational therapy department last Friday (two-way trip in an accessible taxi, but the finger treatment is going really well), I dropped in on a "patient advocate" who made a couple of calls and hooked me up with a social worker called "Christian" who claimed to have spoken to me and explained that I had rejected a service offered to me, which I obviously hadn't meant to do—this was from a confusion between long-term Medicaid-paid home health aide, which I didn't want, and insurance-paid physical therapy, which I do. I'm still in the dark about what happened there, but Christian acknowledged that he isn't a social worker but a marketing agent, and asked me to sign up for Medicaid, and I'm getting the impression that he doesn't have anything corresponding to what I need and doesn't want to tell me. I'm really on my own, hoping to get some help from my own PCP, but I won't be able to see them until Tuesday.

Also, I got a request to fill out a questionnaire on my visit to "Dr. John Muller", who I'd never heard of. It turned out to be the finger clinic, but I'm still pretty sure I didn't meet that doctor there (the place was being run, excellently, by people with less exalted degrees). My old lady, using her Singapore-trained hostile interrogation technique after pinning down somebody who admitted to being an orthopedist and acquainted with my case, elicited two vital things: that it was fine for me to take the bandages off my leg, which was a joy to learn; and that the hospital, having discharged me, in particular the orthopedists who worked on the leg, had no further responsibility. At all.

This is an example of something you might call "cryptoprivatization". Bellevue Hospital, the first public hospital in the United States (an outgrowth of New York's first almshouse, founded in 1736, and developed into a medical institution during the yellow fever outbreaks of the 1790s), is also among the first safety-net hospitals, or places from which a patient is never turned away on financial or other grounds, and a place of extraordinary distinction in the history of medicine—old New Yorkers remember it chiefly for the dreadful lunatic asylum of the days of Nellie Bly (though the asylum the intrepid reporter checked herself into was on what's now Roosevelt Island), but it was also the site of the first maternity ward (1799), the creation of the world's first municipal sanitary code, in 1867, and a pioneer in the treatment of diseases from tuberculosis through AIDS to ebola. It's really not a public institution any more, though it's managed by a public benefit corporation, the NYC Health + Hospitals (founded 1970), but it's a 501(c)(3) charity

  • Defined as: Organizations for any of the following purposes: religious, educational, charitable, scientific, literary, testing for public safety, fostering national or international amateur sports competition (as long as it doesn’t provide athletic facilities or equipment), or the prevention of cruelty to children or animals.

that gets less than 1% of its revenues from government entities, and 88.3% (about $52 million) from the services it sells. (And spends 3% of its income on executive salaries

MICHAEL K WINTHROP (PRESIDENT) $523,995
TIMOTHY BUIT (EXEC VP, CFO) $389,746
SARA BROKAW (VICE PRESIDENT, PATIENT CA) $227,988

if you wanted to know.) 

But what interests me is how it's been privatized in style, in revising the mission of the modern hospital from that of caring for patients to that of processing them through the limited phase they are willing to handle in the broad project of healthcare consumption, before they farm you out to the next phase, at the hands of some other institution with which they may or may not maintain friendly ties. In a way it's the patients, rather than the care, that are the product. From the depersonalization the patient undergoes through all these alienation techniques (self-control for the higher orders and depersonalized scheduling for the lower ones, as if to make sure no nurse starts thinking of you as "my patient"—you're the team's patient) to the final abdication of responsibility when you become some other institution's burden or a freelance patient looking for another institution to take you on. I'm not complaining on my own behalf, even, as much as those, especially the uninsured, who have fewer resources.

The other day we were talking, in the Substack comments, about this compelling little essay from Josh Marshall on the concept of oligarchs, international non-state or quasi-state actors working out international agendas from their strange positions, in times of relatively weak state formation, from the private condottieri armies of the Italian Renaissance to the swarm of interested parties gathering around the Trump political movement. 

I first became interested in this topic years and years ago tied to the rise of private military contractors. But the issue came to the fore again for me during the Trump years in a different way. Behind the sprawling Russia investigation and Trump’s various other scandals and sub-scandals there seemed to me to be something more general happening. Between post-Soviet oligarchs, gulf princelings, American plutocrats and Israeli technologists, there was a trade in power and secrets that seemed to operate beyond and outside the formal relations between the various countries in question.

Marshall is writing mostly about Elon Musk in the US and Yevgeny Prigozhin in Russia, and their strange and nerve-wracking ways of pursuing what they suppose (often wrongly) are their interests, but I'm also interested in this concept of state weakness, the weakness of Russia, which Putin was able to keep concealed for a long time, and the weakness of the US in the Trump administration, which was extreme in spite of Trump's personal fascist predilections, just an open sore like Istanbul in the "Sick Man of Europe" stage of the late 19th century, at which these oligarchs came to feed like a crowd of carrion birds. Which is plainly not the way the Biden administration is going, though chaos agents like Musk and Zuckerberg are still an awful problem. The difference is that the Trump patriciate was openly for oligarchy and against governmental institutions other than police—Trump and his minions are oligarchs and chaos agents themselves.

I'm struck by the sense of an analogy between our healthcare system, especially as represented in the big hospitals and the pharmaceuticals industry, and all those private armies and unaccountable oligarchs, as another kind of non-state or quasi-state force creating its own institutionality. 

And then by a note from Robert Kuttner at American Prospect bringing these things (Musk and healthcare) together with the obvious solution, that government needs to be stronger, though necessarily from a democratic strength, with more "public options", as we used to call them in 2009, exercising institutional power.

Cross-posted at The Rectification of Names.

Tuesday, August 29, 2023

OFF AGAIN

I'm heading out of town again for a few days. I'll be back on Saturday. I think there'll be guest posts here while I'm away, so stop by. See you soon.

Monday, August 28, 2023

FRENCH WORDS AREN'T VERY MANLY, SAYS HATEMONGERING FORMER BOWTIE WEARER

I learn from Gateway Pundit that Tucker Carlson has made another trip to Hungary, where he's not just being a Viktor Orbán fanboy -- he also expressed anger at America because the current president chose an ambassador he doesn't like:
US Ambassador to Hungary David Pressman, who is gay, has attacked his host country for “anti-LGBTQ” policies. Speaking in Budapest on Aug. 26, Tucker Carlson said that “the behavior of the American Ambassador to Hungary makes me want to apologize. It’s disgusting and inexcusable.”

... The behavior of the Biden lackey Pressman is “so far from the norms of diplomacy in my country that it’s hard for me to believe that David Pressman is doing what he’s doing,” Carlson said....

“The point of diplomacy is not to hector other nations”, Carlson said. “To show up in someone else’s country and scream at them because they’re different from you... That is the opposite of diplomacy.”

“And so, for a creep like David Pressman – who is not a diplomat, he was a political activist and Biden donor – to show up in your country and lecture you about your culture and threaten you because you do things differently... hurts the United States, is a grave embarrassment to me as an American and an outrage as someone who pays his salary. It’s disgusting.”

“David Pressman is doing this, not on behalf of the American people, who do not share his views, he’s doing it on behalf of a tiny percentage of the American population, on behalf of an interest group, the Human Rights Campaign, paid by US taxpayers to attack you because you have views he doesn’t like”, Tucker said....
In fact, Americans broadly support LGBTQ rights.

Carlson thinks he can hammer home this point by using a word that derives from French, which every Real American knows is an effeminate language:
“My advice is, just wait it out”, Tucker said. “The United States is in a place right now where this is not sustainable. You can’t run a global empire based on the imposition of boutique sexual politics on countries that don’t want them.”
Boutique. Carlson likes this word so much he uses it again:
“The Soviet Union told you, you had to worship Lenin. The State Department tells you, you have to worship transvestites. It’s not so different. It’s a foreign power pushing its weird boutique religion on you. It’s wrong. You worship whatever you want. It’s your country.”
If this use of the word boutique makes you long for the days of the polite, genteel pre-Donald Trump GOP, let me remind you that George W. Bush said in 1988 that Michael Dukakis's foreign policy ideas were "born in Harvard Yard's boutique," which made absolutely no sense but sounded effete and unmanly. Poppy Bush, Tucker Carlson: Preppy wannabe tough guys think alike.

Carlson does videos about UFOs and testicle tanning. Ambassador David Pressman, by contrast, is a serious person:
He ... clerked for the Supreme Court of Rwanda, where he evaluated post-genocide transitional justice initiatives. Returning to the US he worked at the Southern Poverty Law Center in Montgomery, Alabama....

In early 2006, Pressman accompanied actor George Clooney and his father on a trip to Darfur to make a documentary. He joined Clooney on several missions to Europe, Asia, the Middle East and Africa to lobby for peace in Darfur.... Pressman joined Clooney in founding Not On Our Watch Project, an advocacy and grant-making organization focused on raising awareness about mass-atrocities.... Working as an attorney in private practice, he represented the Indian activist Leonard Peltier in seeking a pardon and had a conviction overturned in the case of a man who spent 10 years in prison for a crime he did not commit....

Under President Barack Obama, Pressman served as an assistant secretary in the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and was responsible for policy development on global criminal justice issues there.... He also served as the Director for War Crimes and Atrocities on the National Security Council, where he coordinated the government's efforts to prevent and respond to mass atrocities, genocide, and war crimes....

In early 2015, he successfully lobbied against a Russia-led attempt to deny benefits to the same-sex partners of U.N. employees....

The day after a mass shooting at a gay nightclub in Florida in June 2016, Pressman told the UN General Assembly that denouncing terrorism was an insufficient response: "If we are united in our outrage by the killing of so many — and we are — let us be equally united around the basic premise of upholding the universal dignity of all persons regardless of who they love, not just around condemning the terrorists who kill them." He was influential in winning UN Security Council approval of a resolution that condemned "targeting persons as a result of their sexual orientation". It was the first time that body addressed sexual orientation and required what diplomats called "intense consultations" to overcome the reservations of countries that provide no civil protections for sexual orientation or criminalize homosexuality.
You get the picture. So what got Carlson all worked up? This speech:
U.S. Ambassador to Hungary David Pressman on June 16 criticized the crackdown on LGBTQ and intersex rights in the European country.

“It is impossible not to see echoes of this in your Parliament’s vote earlier this year to encourage neighbors to report to the authorities their gay neighbors raising children,” he added. “Turning neighbor on neighbor conjures a dark past of covert agents and informants, of fear and betrayal, in this country and this region that I do not need to recount. You have a museum for that. While this legislation did not become law, the fact it was ever considered, let alone supported by this government and passed by the legislature is chilling.”

Pressman noted “this proposal is not unique; others became and remain law.”

“Laws prohibiting ‘propaganda of non-traditional sexual relationships’ were adopted by Russia in 2013,” he said. “These Russian laws found a new home here in Hungary eight years later — like a virus spreading — when the government adopted laws to forbid ‘educational programs aimed at the promotion of … homosexuality.’ And this law remains in force today. And — in both Russia and in Hungary — the crackdowns on discourse related to gayness were preceded and accompanied by a closing of space for independent institutions and civil society.”

“History teaches us that when governments start discriminating against one group — whether for who they love or what they believe, their politics or their race, or the color of their skin — others are usually not far behind,” added Pressman. “It teaches us clearly what can happen when we fail to speak out and stand up to these laws and policies as soon as they infect our democracies.”
To Carlson, these are un-American, "boutique" ideas. He's wrong, at least for now. Maybe he's describing a future America dominated by hatemongers. But that's not where we live now.

Sunday, August 27, 2023

LIBS, STOP ACTING SO OWNABLE

This MSNBC opinion piece by Jen Psaki was the last straw for me:
Trump’s mug shot will backfire in 2024

... This Georgia indictment is different for a whole host of reasons. Donald Trump has 18 co-defendants, he can’t pardon himself, the trial will likely be televised, and now, for the first time, we have a mug shot.

Trump and his allies are already leaning in to it. We should expect T-shirts, posters, mugs galore.

He thinks this is a political winner for him. But as New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu told me in an interview that airs Sunday, “independents hate it.”

The fact remains that Trump is going to need to expand his voting base to win a general election.... it’s very unlikely independents and moderates in the suburbs of Milwaukee, Phoenix or Detroit are going to become more likely to vote for Trump because he has was booked in the Fulton County Jail....

This photo will be shared on every text thread in America. Sometimes, images are more persuasive than anything. And it is hard to imagine that this image, of Trump scowling into the police camera, will make him more appealing to anyone who is not already a hardcore supporter.
Psaki might be right about all of this -- I continue to worry that many middle-of-the-road voters are tuning out the Trump legal news and in 2024 will simply choose the candidate who prevailed over lower gas prices, but I agree that one or more convictions could make these voters take Trump's unfitness to be president seriously. Joe Biden might beat Trump handily after juries have called Trump a felon. (The polls aren't hinting at that yet, however -- the most recent poll I've seen, from Reuters, has Trump up 38%-32% after the latest indictment, with 30% saying they're undecided, unlikely to vote, or likely to vote third party.)

But even if Trump's electoral downfall is imminent, why are liberals fixated on the mugshot?

The mugshot has become a media obsession. It was the subject of multiple think pieces: AP's Jonathan Cooper: "One Image, One Face, One American Moment: The Donald Trump Mug Shot." Amanda Hoover of Wired: "In a World of Fakes, Trump’s Real Mug Shot Matters."

The Atlantic's Mark Leibovich lamented that "Trump’s Mug Shot Gives His Haters Nothing." ("Trump’s photo offers a rough visage, formidable and extremely serious—which is what I assume he was going for. He made an effort here. It paid off. He gave his haters nothing in the ballpark of vulnerability.")

Entertainers reacted to it (The Independent: "‘Slouchy and Hateful’: John Cusack, Rosie O’Donnell and Kathy Griffin React to Trump Mugshot"). New York magazine published a piece by its senior art critic titled "The Art of the Mug Shot." The New York Times turned to its chief fashion critic ("A Trump Mug Shot for History: The Former President’s Booking Photo Is Unprecedented. And That’s Just the Beginning of Its Significance").

Who cares? We're acting as if the mugshot will be the main thing we remember about Trump's legal journey when he has four trials scheduled. Some people undoubtedly thought O.J. Simpson's mugshot would matter, but that was before "If the glove doesn't fit, you must acquit," and then the verdict. And even if prosecutors can't bring any of Trump's cases to trial before November 2024, he has more than a year of presidential campaigning to go. He's going to say and do many things that will matter more to us in the future than this damn photo.

It was inevitable that Trump and other right-wingers would turn the photo into a badge of honor (and into merchandise) -- but we made it so much easier for them by obsessing over it. All they care about is owning the libs, and we made it abundantly clear to them that they'd really own us if they turned the mugshot into a holy object.

One prominent person handled this correctly. He didn't treat the release of the mugshot as a profound and solemn moment in American history. He was appropriately flippant:
President Joe Biden on Friday weighed in on former President Donald Trump's mug shot.

Biden, who is vacationing in Lake Tahoe, chuckled when asked by reporters whether he'd seen the image yet.

"I did see it on television," Biden responded.

When asked what he thought, Biden replied, "Handsome guy. Wonderful guy."
Just that, then on to the next subject. Perfect.

Saturday, August 26, 2023

EVERY FOURTEENTH AMENDMENT CHALLENGE IS EFFECTIVELY A CONTRIBUTION TO TRUMP'S CAMPAIGN

I know, I know: Donald Trump led an insurrection. The Fourteenth Amendment says that makes him ineligible to hold office.
[The] disqualification argument boils down to Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution's 14th Amendment, which says that a public official is not eligible to assume public office if they "engaged in insurrection or rebellion against" the United States, or had "given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof," unless they are granted amnesty by a two-thirds vote of Congress.

Advocacy groups have long argued that Trump's behavior after the 2020 election fits those criteria. The argument gained new life earlier this month when two members of the conservative Federalist Society, William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, endorsed it in the pages of the Pennsylvania Law Review.
Jennifer Rubin writes:
In practice, that means that secretaries of state and local officials could refuse to list Trump on their ballots, or state legislators, governors and congressional representatives could refuse to certify any electors of him — just as would be the case if Trump had not been born in the United States or had not met the age qualification. Even if Trump is disqualified in only a couple of swing states (say, Michigan and Nevada), any realistic hope of victory would evaporate.
How can we possibly think this is a politcally viable idea, even if it's constitutionally appropriate? We're (justifiably) angry at Trump for wanting his own electors to usurp the appropriately appointed electors for Joe Biden -- but we think it's a good idea to prevent the certification of Trump electors? Seriously, imagine you're a Republican voter (and not necessarily a Trump superfan). You're told every day that Trump's enemies are engaging in "election interference." Then you see our side proposing this. Of course you're going to believe that we're the democracy-haters, the people from whom America must be saved.

And what good will it do? Any challenge to Trump's eligibility will eventually make it to the Supreme Court. How do you think the 6-3 Republican Court will rule on efforts to keep him off ballots or decertify his electors?

It's possible that a challenge to Trump's eligibility could survive Supreme Court scrutiny if he and a conventionally Kochite running mate (Tim Scott, for instance) are already in office -- the Court might decide that Scott would be a more biddable president (and more appealing to swing voters) and might dump Trump then. But the Court won't allow Trump to be removed from ballots now, thus making it impossible for the GOP to win the presidential election. So why bother?

Trust me on this: Every time a state effort to ban Trump from the ballot makes the news, right-wing voters will become more and more motivated to cast a ballot for him. You think he's fund-raising off the Fulton County mugshot? Wait till you see how much money he raises if Michigan or Nevada tries to ban him from the ballot.

Of course he shouldn't be able to run. But if we think there's any chance we'll someday have a nationwide consensus that our elections are legitimate, we shouldn't put it at risk by blatantly denying the crazed GOP electorate the opportunity to vote for the candidate of their choice.

Friday, August 25, 2023

NO, VIVEK RAMASWAMY WILL NOT BE TRUMP'S RUNNING MATE

Sorry -- I know the Trump arrest is all anyone wants to talk about, but I really don't want to give it (and him) any more oxygen. I let myself get sucked into watching the O.J.-style coverage last night (Here's Trump's motorcade on the way to the courthouse!) and I feel dirty for having watched it. And now Fox News is grumbling because Joe Biden subtly alluded to the arrest in a fund-raising pitch ("Apropos of nothing, I think today's a great day to give to my campaign") -- which is apparently beyond the pale, even as Trump's campaign sells T-shirts of his mugshot. Enough. This was allowed to become a campaign event from Trump, and the day-after coverage seems to be a second event. I don't want to participate.

Instead, I want to talk about Margaret Sullivan's response to Vivek Ramaswamy's debate performance:
If Ramaswamy’s real aim – other than to bask in his own glorious reflection – is to get Trump to choose him as his running mate, he made progress toward that end.
This comes a day after Bill Scher published a Washington Monthly piece titled "Ramaswamy Aces the VP Interview."

Would Trump really pick Ramaswamy as his running mate? Nahhh.

Amanda Marcotte thinks Trump simply won't pick anyone other than a white guy:
There's a prevailing assumption in the mainstream media that Nikki Haley and fellow South Carolinian Sen. Tim Scott are both angling for a running mate spot on the Trump ticket. It's doubtful either of them is dim enough to believe Trump would deign to reach outside the white male community for that role.
I think Trump felt that way in 2016, but I think he might be willing to broaden his pool of potential running mates now, especially because he'll be looking for someone to match up against Kamala Harris. Haley might have burned her bridges to Trump by calling him "the most disliked politician in all of America," although Trump likes watching former critics crawl back to him and beg to be his friend (e.g., Lindsey Graham). But if Trump picks someone who's not of European descent, it will probably be the uncharismatic, unthreatening Tim Scott.

There are many women who'd love to run with him: Elise Stefanik, Kristi Noem, Kari Lake, Marjorie Taylor Greene, possibly Tulsi Gabbard. I think he'll reject Lake, Greene, and Ramaswamy (as well as Ron DeSantis) for the same reason: They're too ambitious. He's not going to pick someone who clearly wants his job. He'll want someone as servile and beta as Mike Pence, which might mean Stefanik or Scott. He'll joke that the others might poison his food (poisoning is a real fear of his, according to Michael Wolff).

Ramaswamy won't be the running mate, but I agree with Margaret Sullivan that he looks like the future of the GOP:
“If you have wondered what Trumpism after Trump looks like, ask no further,” suggested the magazine writer David Freedlander on the social media site formerly known as Twitter....

Certainly, he has the essentials covered. No, not foreign policy chops or a background in public service, but a mocking aversion to social justice and equality....

In case there was any doubt, now we know: [Republican voters] will always fall for the attention-seeking, the policy-unencumbered, the candidate quickest with a demeaning insult. That’s a “winner”, apparently....

“Ramaswamy is like Trump in the larva stage, molting toward the full Maga wingspan but not quite there yet,” wrote Frank Bruni in his New York Times newsletter. “His narcissism, though, is fully evolved.”
As the 2028 campaign approaches, there'll be a lot of chatter (yes, again) on the subject of reviving the pre-Trump Republican Party. Some of the same Establishment dullards who are running this time might run again, along with other dullards. Some may even be called the early favorites for the nomination.

But the race will actually be dominated by Trump wannabes -- Ramaswamy as well as (potentially) Greene, Matt Gaetz, Donald Trump Jr., Mike Flynn, Candace Owens, and (who knows?) possibly even Tucker Carlson. Whether or not we've had another four years of Trump, the rubes will feel persecuted and want more MAGA, more lib-bashing, more extremism. And the pundits who are dying to declare the crisis of the GOP over will be shocked yet again.

Thursday, August 24, 2023

NIKKI HALEY IS THE PUNDIT CLASS'S NEW HOPIUM

The New York Times asked some of its opinion columnists to rate the candidates' performances in last night's Republican debate. Nikki Haley made some Never Trump right-wingers swoon:
David French: Here at last was a conservative who called out Trump’s profligate spending, a pro-life politician who gave an appropriately pragmatic answer to the challenge of national legislation, and a foreign policy hawk who dismantled [Vivek] Ramaswamy’s isolationism on live television. All of it warmed my old-school Reagan conservative heart. If there’s any life left in the old G.O.P., Haley gave it hope....

Bret Stephens: The star of the evening. Confident, prepared, sane and projecting the aura of someone who can win a general election.
And now David Brooks is besotted:
Wednesday’s debate persuaded me that the best Trump alternative is ... Nikki Haley....

Haley dismantled Ramaswamy on foreign policy. It was not only her contemptuous put-down: “You have no foreign policy experience and it shows.” She took on the whole America First ethos that sounds good as a one-liner but that doesn’t work when you’re governing a superpower. Gesturing to Ramaswamy, she said, “He wants to hand Ukraine to Russia, he wants to let China eat Taiwan, he wants to go and stop funding Israel. You don’t do that to friends.”

Similarly on abortion, many of her opponents took the issue as a chance to perform self-righteous bluster — to make the issue about themselves. She was the only one who acknowledged the complexity of the issue, who tried to humanize people caught in horrible situations, who acknowledged that the absolutist position is politically unsustainable.
This talk warms right-centrist pundits' hearts, but Nikki Haley has to survive Iowa and New Hampshire. Supporting the war in Ukraine? The recent NBC/Des Moines Register poll of likely Iowa Republican caucus voters says that 43% of them would be less likely to vote for a candidate who supports continued aide to Ukraine, and only 35% would be more likely. On abortion, 54% would be more likely to vote for someone who supports a national fifteen-week ban, while only 24% would be less likely.

Pundits who are desperate for an end to Trumpism have been watching Ron DeSantis's campaign implode, have seen Tim Scott's failure to launch, have noted that most GOP voters despise Chris Christie. They should be gradually emerging from the grip of denial. They should understand that it's Trump's party and there's nothing anyone can do to change that until defeat, the law, or a fatal blood clot removes him from electoral politics.

Some of them, I think, were slowly beginning to accept reality. Then they watched Haley debate and ingested the hopium again.

So now she'll get massive amounts of mainstream media coverage. And I'm calling it now: While this is taking place, her poll numbers (at least in Iowa) will go down. Maybe she'll see an uptick in New Hampshire and nationally -- or maybe not, because how many Republican voters want to be told that Donald Trump is, as Haley said last night, “the most disliked politician in all of America”?

One Never Trumper at the Times wasn't buying the Haley hype:
Ross Douthat: A perfectly competent and therefore insufficient performance for a polished candidate without a clear rationale or lane.
Exactly.

TUCKER CARLSON INDICTS DEMOCRATS FOR IMAGINARY CRIMES

The first Republican presidential debate was last night, and Tucker Carlson's interview of Donald Trump was released minutes before the debate as counterprogramming. Surprisingly, the most deranged pronouncement in either event wasn't from one of the debaters (although Vivek Ramaswamy's assertion that "the climate agenda is a hoax" was extreme), nor was it anything Trump said. The most deranged pronouncement of the night was Carlson's assertion that an attempt on Trump's life is inevitable, because "they" need him dead -- which, according to Carlson, makes Trump like Jeffrey Epstein.

Slate's Molly Olmstead has the details:
In the interview ... former President Donald Trump was boasting about his poll numbers when Tucker Carlson suddenly cut him off. “Can I ask you—that gets back to my original question,” he said. “If the protests didn’t work, and you got elected anyway; the impeachment didn’t work, twice; indictment is not working ... If you chart it out, it’s an escalation, is what I’m saying. So what’s next, after trying to put you in prison for the rest of your life? That’s not working. Don’t they have to kill you now?”

Trump didn’t respond directly. “I think the people of our country don’t get enough credit for how smart they are,” he said. “They get it. I got indicted four times. All trivial. Nonsense. Bullshit. It’s all bullshit.”

It was the second time Carlson had brought up the strong likelihood, from his perspective, that they were going to try to kill Trump.
The first time came after Carlson asked Trump whether he believes Jeffrey Epstein was murdered. Trump said he's not sure, but he thinks the death was a suicide; Carlson flatly asserted that Epstein was killed.
If it seemed odd that Carlson was grilling Trump about Jeffrey Epstein, the host finally made his point clear. “The reason I’m asking you is I’m looking at the trajectory since 2015,” he said. “It started with protests against you, massive protests, organized protests by the left, and then it moved to impeachment next, and then indictment. I mean the next stage is violence. Are you worried that they’re trying to kill you? Why wouldn’t they try to kill you, honestly?”
Even if you believe everything Carlson said -- I'm sure most of his audience does -- it was odd for him to make this comparison directly to Trump, in front of an audience full of Trump supporters. Epstein was a pedophile with many wealthy and well-connected friends, many of whom engaged in pedophilic sexual activity with Epstein's assistance -- and here was Carlson seemingly saying, to Trump's face, They killed that pervert, and you're like him. I know that Carlson has a love/hate relationship with Trump, but is that really the message he was trying to send? (Trump is a sex criminal, of course, but he seems to prefer assaults on adult women, and his fans think women throw themselves at him, so he'd never bother to assault one.)

But I don't think Carlson intended his audience to think of Trump as another sex criminal. His point was that they -- the Deep State, the Regime, whatever term you want to use -- kill whoever stands in the way of implementing their evil agenda (though somehow they never killed Trump while he was president), so of course they'll try to off him the way they offed Epstein.

This is one of the top techniques right-wing propagandists have for keeping the base angry. Attacking political enemies for things they've actually done isn't enough, so the hated libs get attacked for things right-wingers think we'll do, or claim we're planning to do.

We're going to take away everyone's guns. We're going to eliminate free enterprise and convert America to pure socialism. We're going to abolish the dollar and replace it with the "amero," a coin of the "North American Union" (old version) or with a "central bank digital currency and surveillance system" (new version). We're going to uproot everyone who lives in suburban and rural communities and forcibly confine them in "fifteen-minute cities." We're going to respond to a slight uptick in COVID cases by reinstating every heath protocol from 2020.

The way this technique works is that some people, on hearing that the evil libs are scheming to do something we're not actually scheming to do, will believe it's already happening with no additional evidence. Others will imagine a slippery slope: If a state passes a red flag law, mass gun confiscation is the obvious next step. If one college reinstates mask mandates, then nationwide lockdowns are surely coming any day now.

And, presumably, if there's an act of violence or threat of violence against any MAGA Republican, then the Deep State/Soros hit squad targeting Trump is surely locked and loaded.

In the reptile brains of right-wingers, anticipated evil deeds feel as if they're actually happening, and arouse as much anger as they would if they'd actually taken place. Tucker Carlson knows that. It's why he talked about an assassination plan that doesn't exist.

Wednesday, August 23, 2023

VIVEK RAMASWAMY WANTS TO DEPORT TWO MEMBERS OF CONGRESS (AND DOESN'T KNOW ONE WAS BORN IN AMERICA)

In an effort to seem like a legitimate news outlet, Breitbart submitted a questionnaire on immigration to the Republican candidates for president. I'm sure it won't surprise you that the questions lean far to the right ("What are the specifics of your plan to handle the astounding number of asylum seekers while their cases are decided?"), as do most of the answers from the candidates who completed the questionnaire (Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, and Ron DeSantis).

Vivek Ramaswamy didn't answer Breitbart's questions, but he did submit a response laying out his immigration policy. It begins:
The sole purpose of immigration policy should be to protect the homeland. The interests of American citizens who live on American soil. That’s it. Not humanitarian.
Well, so much for anyone who looks back on America's rejection of Jewish refugees during the Nazi era and believes that the nation's post-war asylum policy has been an appropriate response to that moral failure.

(This is clearly a mainstream position in the GOP -- Tim Scott says, "All our policies should first and foremost benefit American citizens.")

Later in his response, Ramaswamy says:
Merit-based immigration has to include an element of national identity. Which is to say even if you’re getting a visa, you have to pass the same civics test that is required on the backend of citizenship.
He's really into the idea of the civics test -- he doesn't think you should be able to vote if you're under the age of 25 unless you pass one (with exceptions made for members of the military and first responders) -- which unsurprisingly appeals to many GOP voters because they know young people lean Democratic, even though the idea also feels like a version of the icky elitist-liberal credentialism that David Brooks and Thomas Edsall insist is the reason we got Trump. Get sufficiently high test scores and you can get into Harvard -- and if you pass a different kind of test you can vote! Apparently this idea is okay if you're a Republican, even a Republican with degrees from Harvard and Yale.

(Also, if you're an American and you get a job offer in Canada or England or Dubai, would it be fair to require you to pass a full citizenship test in order to work? That's what Ramaswamy is proposing for America.)

Which brings us to his final proposal:
We need to weed out ingrates like Illan Omar and Rashida Tlaib who come to this country and complain about it. No. It is a privilege to be allowed to live in the United States of America.
Hey, smart guy -- you know that Rashida Tlaib was born in Detroit, right?

Omar, of course, is a naturalized citizen (though as Essence once noted, Omar has been a citizen longer than Melania Trump). It's true that Omar has said some critical things about America. But do you know who else "complains about" the U.S.? Every Republican. Republicans hate the president. They hate most of the laws passed during liberal administrations, and most of the laws passed in liberal cities and states. Republicans hate millions of their fellow citizens. They hate most of the nation's cities. And they have an inalienable right as Americans to feel all this hate and complain that America isn't exactly the way they want it to be. But Ramaswamy doesn't want extend this right -- a right Republicans exercise every single day -- to Omar and Tlaib.

And speaking of Melania Trump: Ramaswamy is both the greatest admirer of Trump in the field of Trump challengers and a fervent opponent of the policies that allowed Trump's wife's family to come to America. He says:
We need to eliminate chain-based migration which is anti-meritocratic because the people who come as family members are not the meritocratic immigrants who can make skills-based contributions to this country.
It would be nice if someone would ask him tonight, or at one of the subsequent debates: You're an admirer of Donald Trump and an advocate for extreme tightening of our immigration laws. Do you think the immigration system should have prevented Melania Trump and her family from settling in America?

Tuesday, August 22, 2023

CHRIS SUNUNU IS DELUSIONAL

I wasn't planning to write about New Hampshire governor Chris Sununu's New York Times op-ed "If Republicans Narrow the Field, We Will Beat Trump," but I see that both NBC and Fox News are giving it respectful coverage. So I'd just like to make the point that Sununu is completely delusional, and is encouraging others to be delusional as well.

Sununu writes:
This week, Republican primary candidates for president will have a chance to make their case before a national audience — with or without Donald Trump on the debate stage. To win, they must break free of Mr. Trump’s drama, step out of his shadow, go on offense, attack, and present their case....

Candidates on the debate stage should not be afraid to attack Donald Trump.... Tim Scott, Ron DeSantis, and Vivek Ramaswamy — candidates with compelling stories, records and polling — must show voters they are willing to take on Mr. Trump, show a spark, and not just defend him in absentia.
Sununu seems to believe it's just a coincidence that DeSantis, Ramaswamy, and Scott have had some polling success while not attacking Trump very hard (or, in Ramaswamy's case, at all). It appears not to occur to Sununu that attacking Trump would cause these candidates' poll numbers to crater.
Donald Trump is beatable, and it starts in Iowa and New Hampshire. Ignore the national polls that show he is leading — they are meaningless....

The best indicator of Mr. Trump’s strength is looking to where the voters are paying attention: in states where candidates are campaigning, television ads are running, and there is a wide range of media attention on every candidate.

In Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two states that will vote in the 2024 Republican primaries, Mr. Trump is struggling. In both Iowa and New Hampshire, he is consistently polling in the low 40 percent range. The floor of his support may be high, but his ceiling is low.
Is that true? It sure doesn't seem true in Iowa. Yes, Trump can't quite get to 50% in Iowa polling in a multi-candidate field, but why does he need to when he has a 26-point lead? And when pollsters have surveyed hypothetical Iowa head-to-head matchups involving Trump, he generally crushes his opponents. In a Daily Mail poll conducted early this month, Trump beat DeSantis 48% to 35%, beat Scott 54% to 34%, beat Ramaswamy 54% to 28%, and beat Mike Pence 67% to 20%. In a New York Times poll conducted a few days earlier, Trump beat DeSantis head to head 55% to 39%.

But Sununu isn't proposing a mass culling of the field before Iowa. He says:
At a minimum, any candidate who does not make the stage for the first two debates must drop out.

Anyone who is polling in the low single digits by Christmas must acknowledge that their efforts have fallen short.
I agree that Perry Johnson, Will Hurd, Asa Hutchinson, Larry Elder, Francis Suarez, and Ryan Binkley should all drop out. But in the recent NBC/Des Moines Register poll of Iowa, they're all at 0%, except for Hurd, who's at 1%. How does redistributing 1% of the vote diminish Trump's double-digit lead? And even if you get rid of Doug Burgum (2%) and Ramaswamy (4%), that's 7% of the total vote to redistribute, and Trump leads DeSantis in this poll by 23. Besides, Ramaswamy won't drop out because (a) he's doing much better in New Hampshire and in national polling and (b) he's in the race to build his brand, not to win.

Here's Sununu's key proposal:
After the results from Iowa come in, it is paramount that the field must shrink, before the New Hampshire primary, to the top three or four.
So ... presumably Trump, DeSantis, Ramaswamy, and Scott? Not Chris Christie, even though he's polling better in New Hampshire, and is the media's favorite anti-Trump candidate? And whoever the survivors are, if they're each at 10% to 15%, they'll still be dividing up the anti-Trump vote. So how does that solve the problem?

If you think Trump can be beaten -- I don't -- you need to pick one opponent. And since the GOP isn't capable of that kind of collective action, and certain candidates won't drop out because they're in the race for reasons other than the belief that they can win, this will never happen, no matter what Chris Sununu says.

Monday, August 21, 2023

THE CONSPIRACY CRAZIES WANT COVID RESTRICTIONS IN 2023 SO THEY CAN FEEL PERSECUTED

There's been an uptick in COVID cases and we're learning about new variants, so Alex Jones and Infowars are telling the gullible that new restrictions are imminent -- government officials say so!
Whistleblowers from the TSA and Border Patrol have raised the alarm to Infowars that the Biden administration is setting the stage for full Covid lockdowns that will begin with incremental restrictions like masking TSA employees in mid-September.

The first source, a high-level TSA official confirmed and known to Infowars, reached out to Infowars and cited a Tuesday meeting in which TSA managers were told new memorandums & policies were being completed that would reimplement masking, starting with TSA & airport employees as early as mid-September.

The TSA official also said next week they will receive new guidelines on how the policy will escalate: by mid-October, mask-wearing will be required by pilots, flight staff, passengers, and airport patrons.

After hearing from the TSA manager, Infowars reached out to our trusted Border Patrol source who is also a manager. This source confirmed the same directives were being given to Border Patrol.

They were told it was not a matter of “if” but “when” official Covid numbers will go back up and they expect by mid-October a return to forced-masking policies that the Biden administration previously only reluctantly ended after massive pressure.
This is all about the election, of course:
Infowars’ analysis is clear: this new rollout’s timing is perfect for the embattled Biden administration to put the country back in a state of civil emergency and even martial law to further divide and confuse the public and move forward with the greatest election meddling in history.

Many times, Alex Jones has warned that the system will bring back biomedical tyranny. And the launch of this new crisis in September will allow a build-up of control that would allow the use of mail-in ballots for the next presidential election.

Remember, mail-in ballots were decisive for Biden’s victory last election.
This is absurd. There'll be mail-in ballots in the 2024 election no matter what's going on with public health. And in the actual United States, no one's wearing masks, even in New York City.

But I'm sure the crazies think this is the distant sound of jackboots (Reuters link):
The Biden administration plans to urge all Americans to get a booster shot for the coronavirus this autumn to counter a new wave of infections, a White House official said on Sunday....

"We will be encouraging all Americans to get those boosters in addition to flu shots and RSV shots," the official said, referring to the Respiratory Syncytial Virus.
Which clearly isn't a mandate or a lockdown at all.

I think it's been actively frustrating for the right that the "Regime" isn't requiring anyone in America to do anything about COVID these days. Right-wing propagandists are usually adept at distracting the rubes with the next new thing when an established narrative hasn't quite lived up to the hype. But the right has been equating COVID health measures with creeping fascism for three and a half years now. The hated libs/globalists/Deep Staters are supposed to just keep taking more and more freedom away from Real Americans, but on COVID, the authorities stopped pushing restrictions and requirements quite a while back. Rightists crave the old restrictions. Without them, they can't feel truly persecuted.

Gateway Pundit is retransmitting this story, and I strongly suspect that Robert Kennedy Jr. will be next. Meanwhile, Naomi Wolf is certain that They're Lying To Us because the numbers don't actually reveal a significant COVID surge.


Except that scientists and mainstream news sources aren't claiming that there's a big surge. They're just saying there's an uptick and there are some new variants.

But COVID oppositionalism was good for Wolf's career (at least as an attention-seeker), and it was good for the careers of many other people -- including Ron DeDSantis. So you can't blame them if they wish the bad old days were back.