Monday, November 09, 2026

NO, TRUMP WON'T REALLY MAKE AN IMMIGRATION DEAL WITH DEMOCRATS -- HIS BASE (AND HIS CHIEF OF STAFF) WON'T LET HIM

A couple of days ago, I told you that President Trump "sometimes forgets the party's orthodoxy" but "always, always, always reverts to ... belligerent, zero-sum right-wing extremism." Last night on 60 Minutes, we got to watch Trump forgetting the GOP's orthodoxy for a moment. It won't last.
President Trump says he believes that his aggressive immigration policies may have hurt Republicans in the midterm election, acknowledging that his approach to deportations, in particular, was “too tough.” ...

“I think it both helped and hurt,” Mr. Trump said of his policies. “I think I got an A-plus for closing up the border. I get very high marks for getting the bad ones out, but I get hurt because we also took people that had good jobs, that — that created one violation or breaking of the law: that was that they came into the country illegally.” ...

The president said he believed that Democrats would be interested in a deal that reflected the thinking of more moderate parts of his base who want “killers” and drug dealers deported, but would be open to a deal for people who have been in the country “for 10 and 15 years.” ...

“When you go into a hotel and you have a woman that’s worked there as — you know, as a maid, as a cleaner, as a this, as a that, as a waitress, a lot of good things, great jobs” he said, “and all of a sudden they’re being taken out of the country, it’s tough. It’s a tough thing.”
If you want to see how the Trump base is taking this, go to X and search "amnesty."


A right-wing influencer named Joey Mannarino, who has nearly 800,000 followers and whose tweet praising the Miller appointment was reposted by the president on Truth Social, writes:


Obviously, Trump is hearing similar complaints from his CEO friends.

But Mannarino is right to say that Trump "just nominated Stephen Miller to be Chief of Staff, so it won’t happen." Miller will talk him out of this. It probably won't be difficult. If I'm wrong -- if Trump fixates on this idea, and Miller can't dissuade him -- Miller will leave, and other hardliners in the administration may leave as well. They'll attack him for this in the media. They'll make his life hell.

I'm reminded of the moment in Trump's first term when he responded to a series of mass shootings by calling for an expansion of background checks for firearm purchases, then reversed himself under pressure from his base and the gun lobby. I'm also reminded of the way Trump, in 2021 speeches, bragged about the development of COVID vaccines under Operation Warp Speed, until attendees began booing him for recommending the vaccines. He stopped mentioning the shots.

You have to ask yourself whether Trump understands his own ideology if he can pick Miller to run his White House and announce his openness to immigration reform on the same day. (The interview was taped on Friday, the day Trump announced Miller's promotion.)

But Miller, the GOP base, and the right-wing media will get Trump back in line. He craves the base's love, and this is their #1 priority. If he persists, his poll numbers among MAGA Republicans will quickly plummet. (Trump cares a lot about that.) The GOP rank-and-file will cut Trump loose if he continues down this road, and will also cut loose any Republican member of Congress who supports this idea. That's why it won't happen.

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