Sunday, March 03, 2024

IF THERE'S AN OBVIOUS PRO-TRUMP BIAS IN THE 2024 POLLS, WHERE WAS IT IN 2016 AND 2020?

This has been a bad weekend for Joe Biden in the polls. In a New York Times poll, Donald Trump leads Biden by 5, 48%-43%. A Wall Street Journal survey gives Trump a 2-point lead, 47%-45%, and a 5-point lead, 40%-35%, if Robert Kennedy Jr., Jill Stein, Cornel West, and Libertarian Lars Mapstead are included. In a CBS survey, Trump leads by 4, 52%-48%.

But I know this is all nonsense. As you readers have repeatedly informed me, all polls are dishonest. The presidential polls we're seeing this year were commissioned by right-leaning news moguls in order to demonstrate a level of support for Trump that can't possibly exist in real life, either because the moguls want Trump to win or because they know Biden is well on his way to a massive landslide victory, and therefore the illusion of a competitive race must be manufactured out of whole cloth.

There's just one thing I don't understand: Why didn't these evil moguls commission fake pro-Trump polls in 2016 and 2020?

In 2020, Real Clear Politics listed 293 polls of the Trump-Biden race. Of these, 5 had Trump in the lead, 3 said the race was a tie -- and 285 said Biden was winning. Why would the corrupt right-wing moguls who control the so-called liberal media publish polls like this? Many of the polls said Biden was leading by double digits. Where's the pro-Trump, pro-GOP bias in that? I'm confused.

In 2016, RCP listed 261 polls of the race between Trump and Hillary Clinton. Of these, 29 had Trump in the lead, 11 showed a tie -- and 221 put Clinton in the lead, sometimes by double digits. Why? Even in 2016, it sure looked as if the moguls preferred Trump -- in February of that year, CBS's Les Moonves said that Trump's candidacy "may not be good for America, but it’s damn good for CBS." So why were pollsters predicting a victory by Clinton?

If I didn't know better, I might conclude that most polling organizations are making a good-faith effort to assess the mood of the electorate accurately. (Biden did win the election, as predicted, and Clinton did win the popular vote, also as predicted.) But that would lead me to the conclusion that current polls showing Trump in the lead might conceivably be accurate as well, and all intelligent people know that's categorally impossible, as you, my readers, have frequently informed me.

So what's the story? Obviously the pro-Trump polls this year are biased and corrupt. So why weren't they biased and corrupt in exactly the same way in the last two election cycles? Were the media moguls less biased and corrupt back then? Were these rich guys conscientious and honest then?

What gives? I'm sincerely confused. But I'm sure you'll explain it to me.

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