Here's what I know. NYC is one of the most anti-gun cities in U.S. If this guy had been in Nashville, he wouldn't have made it 8 blocks. https://t.co/QTNNordghZ
— Brad Thor (@BradThor) October 31, 2017
Thor boasts on his website that he's spoken at the Heritage Foundation "on the need for robust missile defense," that he's "been a keynote speaker for the National Tactical Officers Association annual conference," and that he " has served as a member of the Department of Homeland Security’s Analytic Red Cell Unit." But that Analytic Red Cell Unit is less impressive than it sounds -- set up after 9/11, it actually consisted of (in the words of The Washington Post) "futurists, philosophers, software programmers, a pop musician and a thriller writer" and was supposed to "arrive at fresh insights" on how terrorists think. In other words, Thor was made a part of the group precisely because he wasn't an expert -- he was just a guy who makes up stories for a living. They're popular stories, to be sure, and they're infused with conservatism and shoot-'em-up action. I think that's why he got to address the Heritage Foundation and the National Tactical Officers Association.
A couple of people who actually know what they're talking about responded to Thor. First, here's Rita Konaev -- a post-doctoral fellow at the Center for Strategic Studies in The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University, with a focus on, as she puts it, "security, demography, & urban warfare." She tweeted:
Vehicular terrorism happens a lot in Israeli cities, amongst armed combat soldiers & trained police. People still die. This is deeply wrong https://t.co/D0cxaFoh4U
— Rita Konaev (@RitaKonaev) October 31, 2017
And then there was Phillip Carter, a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security and a former Army officer:
Mr. Carter began his career as an Army officer, serving for several years in the active and reserve components as a military police and civil affairs officer. He deployed to Iraq in 2005-06, where he served as an embedded adviser with the Iraqi police in the Diyala province, and worked closely with the State Department’s Provincial Reconstruction Team.He just wasn't having it:
<mini-thread> This is dead wrong based on my military experience (incl combat experience around checkpoints & SVBIEDs). 1/ https://t.co/Q2153w9d1p
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Fast moving vehicles are difficult to interdict or stop with bullets, especially w/o barriers or obstacles 2/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Even from established checkpoint, very difficult to accurately hit driver of moving vehicle or disable vehicle with fire 3:
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Virtually impossible to shoot/disable a fast moving vehicle while on the move, and/or not operating from behind cover 4/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Odds go up for stopping vehicle if you have checkpoint/barriers in place - but hard to imagine that in Manhattan 5/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Plus the risk of collateral damage would almost certainly be too high to shoot moving truck in a place like Manhattan - even for cops 6/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Armament matters too; idea that a casual bystander with pistol could stop speeding truck is absurd 7/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Aimed machine gun fire or rifle fire could stop a speeding truck - but even in Nashville bystanders don’t typically carry those 8/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Pistols have short range (~50m), accuracy, capacity & stopping power - would likely have no value against speeding truck 9/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Good shooters could hit truck but would take incredibly good & lucky pistol shot(s) to stop truck or driver 10/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
In Iraq, it took well-designed checkpoints w/well-armed/trained troops to stop SVBIEDs. Not armed bystanders. 11/
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
<end thread> Armed bystanders would’ve made no more diff against NYC truck than in Las Vegas Cf. https://t.co/wKPAPEOVG4 12/12
— Phillip Carter (@Carter_PE) October 31, 2017
Conservatives love these amateur-hero fantasies. They love to believe that their affinity for guns would magically empower them to save lives. Then reality strikes, and we get stories like this:
Guns and women got Dan Bilzerian where he is today — the “King of Instagram,” with nearly 23 million followers, a mansion full of guns and a hot tub full of women.Spare us the manly bravado. It's not helping.
He lines his feed with photos of himself and women in the wilderness, playing with his arsenal of rifles, his biceps the size of their thighs....
“My greatest fear is that someone will break in & I won’t be able to decide what #gun to shoot them with,” he once wrote as a caption for a photo of his table of guns....
But ... in the real Las Vegas, the Instagram star found himself caught in the worst mass shooting in modern U.S. history. He saw a woman lying dead, he said.
He turned a camera on himself as he walked, short of breath, from the killing grounds, and at first resolved to live up to years of online bravado.
“Trying to go grab a gun,” he says in the clip. “I’m f—— headed back. … Saw a girl get shot in the face right next to me, her f—— brains hanging out.”
But in the next clip, which briefly appeared on Bilzerian’s Instagram account and has since been plastered over the Internet, he stands in front of police lights, looking slightly dazed.
“Um, they got one of the guys,” he says, no gun in sight, all fury gone from his voice. “I’m headed back. I don’t think there’s much I can do.”
So he went home, leaving fans to wonder whether one of Instagram’s most formidable stars was something different in real life.