"Meet the GOP"
— Tom Hilton (@TVHilton) May 11, 2021
--Lauren Boebert, who while insurrectionists were *in the Capitol* looking for the Speaker, tweeted out her location.
--Andy Biggs and Paul Gosar, who organized the rally (based on a lie) that turned into the insurrection.
(This is what @nomoremister has been saying since forever, but IMO the Cheney purge drama is the hook we could use to give it traction.)
— Tom Hilton (@TVHilton) May 11, 2021
I'm thinking about this in connection with the Virginia governor's race, which is taking place this year. The state GOP just chose its nominees for governor and other statewide offices in a virtual convention, avoiding a primary, it appears, out of fear that primary voters would have chosen an extremely Trumpy candidate, like state senator Amanda Chase, who has called herself "Trump in heels" and who, among other things, urged Trump to declare martial law in order to prevent Joe Biden from being declared the winner of the presidential election; she also wears a gun on her hip on the floor of the Senate, and she's said that Derek Chauvin's murder conviction "makes me sick."
All of this would have made her a problematic gubernatorial candidate in a state Trump lost by 10 points. And yet Chase led in a couple of polls of would-be Republican primary voters.
The virtual convention, with far fewer voters than there would have been in a primary, chose Glenn Youngkin, a wealthy venture capitalist, as the gubernatorial nominee instead. And although Virginia is becomining bluer and bluer -- the state hasn't elected a Republican governor since 2009 -- Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report thinks Republicans have a shot this year.
To put it in perspective: a 22 pt margin sounds like a lot, but Northam (D) won it by 37 in 2017 and Biden won it by 42. This fall will test whether the blue shift is permanent up and down the ballot, or back to being more elastic w/ Trump out of office. #VAGOV
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) May 11, 2021
Bottom line: Dems have an initial advantage for #VAGOV, but it's competitive w/ Youngkin (and his deep pockets) as the GOP nominee. Dems shouldn't assume Virginia's anti-Trump shift is automatically a durable, pro-Democratic shift.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) May 11, 2021
Youngkin is no Amanda Chase. But he's not an old-school Republican moderate, either. The New York Times, for instance, expects him to run as a right-centrist, but can't help noticing that he really isn't one.
At the recent candidates’ forum, Mr. Youngkin aligned himself with Mr. Trump’s lies about a rigged 2020 election, declaring “voter integrity” a top issue and referring to Dominion voting machines — the subject of conspiracy theories on the far right — as “the most important issue” of the campaign.Yes, and he's certainly tried to appeal to all the right's grievances.
He pledged to restore a state voter identification law, to replace the entire state board of education and to institute the “1776 Project,” a curriculum of “patriotic education” proposed by a commission established under Mr. Trump that has been derided by mainstream historians.
Although Mr. Youngkin is expected to pivot to reach independent voters, Democrats are sure to remind them in the fall of his most Trumpy declarations from the nominating race, and that he campaigned this month with one of his endorsers, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, a bĂȘte noire of the left.
Critical Race Theory has no place in our schools. When I’m Governor, I will make sure our kids learn real math, not a political ideology.
— Glenn Youngkin (@GlennYoungkin) May 6, 2021
Vote Glenn Youngkin on May 8th! pic.twitter.com/f8VnMfP9ar
As governor, I will stand up for our constitutional rights and stop Big Tech from censoring conservatives.
— Glenn Youngkin (@GlennYoungkin) May 8, 2021
Find your polling location to protect our 1st Amendment rights in the Virginia GOP Convention today: https://t.co/DipGsFBQci pic.twitter.com/FHi8hTpoMt
But if he spends as much money as most observers expect him to spend to rebrand himself as a mainstream guy, will the press let him get away with it?
That's an important question going into the elections over the next few years: Will Republicans get away with talking MAGA talk to MAGA people without being branded as extremists because their messages to everyone else sound relatively reasonable? And, ultimately, does it even matter whether an individual candidate talks the language of Trump and Tucker Carlson? Isn't the party so extreme overall that every party member deserves to wear the extremism as a scarlet letter?
As Tom says, Democrats ought to be branding the party right now, and for the foreseeable future. But the press needs to tell the truth about the party, too. The stink of Trumpism and Carlsonism is on all of them. The pre-Trump, pre-Carlson party was bad enough, but things are worse now. GOP candidates shouldn't be able to act as if nothing's wrong.
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