Monday, November 21, 2016

THE NORMALIZING: FUN WITH NUMBERS

Headline at Politico right now:
Poll: Trump's popularity soars after election
"Soars"?
Donald Trump’s popularity is rising in the days since his election, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll of registered voters.

Forty-six percent of voters now have a very favorable or somewhat favorable opinion of the president-elect. Twelve percent have a somewhat unfavorable opinion and 34 percent have a very unfavorable opinion of him.

It’s a dramatic uptick since the election. Trump’s favorability has grown 9 points, 37 percent to 46 percent, compared to a Morning Consult poll right before the election -- while his unfavorability has dropped 15 points, from 61 percent to 46 percent.
So in "a dramatic uptick," Trump's favorability "soars" to mere parity, 46%-46%.

How does this compare? The implication is that it's right in line with what happened to previous presidents:
"Trump’s favorability among voters has reached new highs since he became president-elect,” said Morning Consult cofounder and Chief Research Officer Kyle Dropp. "This honeymoon phase in common for new presidents. For example, Obama saw about a 20 point swing in his favor following the 2008 election."
Let's check Polling Report. What were Barack Obama's favorable/unfavorable numbers in polls taken in the five weeks after Election Day 2008?
CNN : 75%-22%
Fox: 68%-24%
Quinnipiac: 67%-19%
CBS: 55%-12%
NBC: 45%-22%
No parity here.

We've already seen this comparison:



But the Politico headline is right-wing clickbait -- and will probably become mainstream-media conventional wisdom.

Although if we're lucky, this, from Pew, will influence the narrative:



But the Politico headline is probably the story the media likes, so I'm not optimistic.

4 comments:

  1. Our mediums will have to work hard to normalize t-RUMP!

    There are still a lot of people who won't want to swallow a turd sandwich, not matter how many fixin's ya put on it!

    But, give 'em time.
    They've done it to lesser degrees before, so just give 'em time... Give 'em time...

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  2. Something I've been meaning to mention to see if anyone else had this happen.

    I have an android phone and on that phone I HAD Google now. When I first tried Google Now I thought it was handy. It gives you a fair amount of information and you can pick the categories of things your interested in for news stories. I like politics so that was one of my picks.

    At first I didn't really notice anything weird I just swiped away anything from FOX and then I found out that I could block sites I didn't want to see, like FOX. So I blocked FOX and Brieghtbart appears, so I block them and another RWNJ site appears. It got ridiculous, it was one right after another so I just dumped pretty much the whole thing. What the hell is up with that? You'd think their algorithms of whatever they use would see that I don't want news from the crazy people.

    Anyone else have this experience?

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  3. rclz, on Google News, I've had that problem on my desktop computer. I would keep adding right-wing sites that I didn't want to see, and yet I kept seeing more right-wing sites. At least on my computer, I found out two things by going to the controls: 1) It works by naming a news source and a slider, so for instance if I said I wanted to see more from The Guardian, it's just a slider towards more. If I say I want to see less from Breitbart, it's a slider towards less (no such option as "none"). 2) At least on my desktop, there is a maximum of ten sources. So as I kept adding right-wing sources I didn't want to see, I was also wiping out previous entries, including actual news sources that I did want to see. It is just a continual replacement process with a maximum of ten entries. I can't imagine why they made the system work that way. I don't know how the app works because I don't use it, but that's how the website works.

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  4. thanks Diane I'll take a look at it. That seems really goofy. I'd rather it got the hint that NO I NEVER want to see anything from Fox et al.

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