The Democrats are dooooooomed in 2014 because they have inadequate voter enthusiasm, according to Gallup:
A majority of U.S. registered voters, 53%, say they are less enthusiastic about voting than in previous elections, while 35% are more enthusiastic....This looks bad for Democrats -- but please note that Gallup told us more or less the same thing in July 2012:
Among registered voters, 42% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents currently say they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting, while 50% are less enthusiastic, resulting in an eight-point enthusiasm deficit. But Democrats are even less enthusiastic, with a 23-point deficit (32% more enthusiastic vs. 55% less enthusiastic)....
Democrats are significantly less likely now (39%) than they were in the summers of 2004 and 2008 to say they are "more enthusiastic about voting than usual" in the coming presidential election. Republicans are more enthusiastic now than in 2008, and the same as in 2004....Democrats turn out in presidential elections much more reliably than they do in other elections -- but Democrats weren't supposed to be eager to follow that pattern in 2012, and President Obama won reelection anyway (and the election wasn't really all that close). That plus the fact that Republicans lack the fire-breathing fervor of the tea party year of 2010 tells me that this might not be the blowout so many people (include me) have been expecting. Throw in a little Benghazi overreach and who knows?
[There is a] 51% to 39% Republican advantage in voter enthusiasm....
When Eric Cantor gets booed and has people turn their backs on him because he's insufficiently Conservative, the Republican Party is reaching a major tipping point.
ReplyDeleteThey've been heading towards total insanity and Nihilism for years, and they're just about there.
And it's becoming more obvious, even to low-information voters.
And NOT the kind of low-information people that Republicans want - but ones who actually aren't into sociopathy and cruelty.