A couple of weeks ago, an article in The New York Times reassured us that the Army and Army Reserve would meet their recruiting goals for the fiscal year that just ended yesterday. A couple of days ago, USA Today explained precisely why the Reserve is OK for now:

Although the [Army National] Guard and Reserve say their retention rates have not suffered this year, the figures could be misleading. Under an order known as "stop loss," soldiers on active duty are prohibited from leaving the service until their tours end.

Active-duty and Reserve commanders fear that when U.S. soldiers on yearlong rotations come home next year, many will choose to leave the service.

Assuming they're actually allowed to come home next year.

(Thanks to Skimble for the USA Today link.)