I've been chided via e-mail for pessimism about the 2004 elections. Sorry -- I still think it's going to be a big Bush blowout. I basically agree with this assessment by Adam Nagourney from Sunday's New York Times. It's interesting to note that James Carville, whether or not he shares my gloom about the likely outcome, agrees that '04 won't be a rerun of '92.

Bushism will create disillusionment eventually -- I just don't think it will be soon, certainly not while most people still think there's a direct line between current front-page news (and economic woes) and 9/11.