If the 2004 election were held today, Bush would win California.

Yeah, it's a small lead, inflated by war fever. So if you assume that next year the Bush administration will refrain from going to war, building up to go to war, threatening to go to war, and/or denouncing a long list of swarthy Muslims as imminent threats to our national security and personal well-being, while Democrats succeed in focusing the attention of the electorate on unemployment, education, a prescription-drug benefit, and other pocketbook issues, then I guess the Dems ought to be in really excellent shape in Cali in '04, and, by extension, in the rest of the country -- right?