* 10 Days That Shook the House Map and Democratic Confidence"Angst." "Shook." "Desperation."
* A Private Call Reveals Democrats’ Desperation Over Tossing of Map
* Democratic Angst Could Lead California to Change Its Primary Rules
I know, I know -- The New York Times is gonna New York Times. But Democrats cooperated with all three of these stories.
The first story suggests that Democrats are devastated by recent court rulings on gerrymanders, even though they're still likely to win the House:
Just two weeks ago, Democrats felt increasingly emboldened about taking control of the House in November after seeming to fight the redistricting wars to a draw.The second story focuses on Democratic efforts to overturn the Virginia Supreme Court ruling that negated a successful pro-redistricting referendum. The message is that Democrats are desperate to reverse the ruling, but aren't sure they can, or should:
But two court rulings — one by the Supreme Court and another by Virginia’s top court — and an aggressive new push by red states to carve up congressional maps have delivered the Republican Party its biggest burst of momentum in many months....
Democrats are still widely seen as favored to win the House this fall. Republicans face a daunting political climate, saddled with President Trump’s sagging approval ratings, high gas prices and an unpopular war with Iran. In special elections and last year’s races for governor, Democratic enthusiasm has swamped Republican turnout....
[But b]ullish Republicans feel they are back in the game.
Democrats are struggling to respond to a major redistricting setback in Virginia, with some party leaders discussing an audacious and possibly far-fetched idea for trying to restore a congressional map voided by the court but showing little indication they have a clear plan.The plan under discussion would require the Democratic-controlled state legislature and governor to lower the mandatory retirement age for state Supreme Court justices to 54 -- but Democrats aren't sure they want to go through with it.
During a private discussion on Saturday that included Democratic House members from Virginia and Representative Hakeem Jeffries of New York, the minority leader, the lawmakers ... discussed a bank-shot proposal to redraw the congressional lines anyway....
They did not land on a specific course forward, and Mr. Jeffries and the other members of Congress agreed to consult with their lawyers about the most prudent way to proceed....
In that case, why discuss the plan with the media? Why risk looking weak to Democratic partisans if you don't follow through, and appearing desperate to everyone when the House is still the Democratic Party's to lose?
And why debate this in the newspapers?
Former Representative James P. Moran, Democrat of Virginia, said a move to stack the Virginia Supreme Court would be “just a bridge too far” and could backfire on his party.Republicans would either act or walk away. They wouldn't dither and they wouldn't have a public debate. Do you remember them debating the plan to block Merrick Garland's Supreme Court nomination in 2016, or the rushed confirmation process in 2020 when Amy Coney Barrett was appointed to the Court? No. They just settle on a course of action and carried out their plans.
He said he understood that many Democrats felt that their party “needs to fight back and not just be victims of unparalleled aggression.” But, he added: “We do have to keep our credibility. We have to do things that pass the legitimacy test.”
And when they wanted to avoid aggression, they didn't do a lot of debating either -- after the impeachment of Bill Clinton made him more popular, they assumed impeachments of Barack Obama and Joe Biden wouldn't help the GOP, so they didn't impeach, and, for the most part, they didn't talk about it.
In the third story above, Democrats look desperate again, even though they shouldn't:
Democrats have panicked all year at the possibility that California’s primary rules could shut them out of the governor’s office despite the state having an overwhelmingly Democratic electorate.Look, I get it -- many top-tier Democrats are splitting the Democratic vote in this race, while only two Republicans are serious contenders. But publicly discussing this plan right now makes Democrats look panicky and unwilling to accept the results of an unusual but fair democratic process. I don't know enough about what's needed to change the rules in California, so maybe this has to be dealt with right now in order for it to take effect as soon as possible, but if not, just table the discussion, or at least avoid talking about it in public this way:
Now a Democratic strategist is launching a campaign to repeal the California primary system....
The new proposal, filed Friday with state elections officials, would end the nonpartisan top-two primary and revert to a traditional primary in which one candidate from each party advances to the general election.
Steven Maviglio, the Democratic consultant who filed the initiative, has always objected to the top-two system but said he was motivated to try to repeal it this year after seeing the possibility of Democrats being shut out of the general election....You know what? It'll be fine. I grew up in a state, Massachusetts, where the legislature stays in Democratic hands even as Republican governors are frequently elected. The legislature can serve as a check on the Republican governor in California, if there is one -- or, hell, there could even be a recall election.
“The fear of having to vote for Steve Hilton or Chad Bianco sent a shiver up my spine,” Mr. Maviglio said of a potential all-Republican matchup in the general election.
And in any case, at least one Democrat is likely to make it to the general election, at which point that Democrat will be the prohibitive favorite, given the blueness of the state. Bettors at Kalshi and Polymarket think a Democratic win is far more likely than a victory for one of the Republicans.
So do what you think is best, Democrats, but don't dither or whine helplessly. Don't let them see you sweat.
*****
UPDATE: This is why you don't go public with a plan you're not sure you should -- or can -- execute:
Top Virginia Democrats have decided against exercising a controversial procedural end-run around last week’s state Supreme Court ruling that struck down their redistricting....So Democrats raised the hopes of their base and then dashed those hopes. Brilliant.
“As a practical matter,” Virginia’s state Senate majority leader Scott Surovell said in an interview, the move “would not be capable of being implemented” given the “time frame.” ...
... the problem appears to be that the voting system has not been updated recently enough to make faster entry of the new maps possible (it’s currently being updated)....
“Because the technology is so old, it takes a lot of time to input new districts into the computers, to ensure that people are assigned the correct ballots and that voting is not completely chaotic in November,” Surovell told me.
Either act maximally or don't -- but don't overpromise and underdeliver. That does nothing except make Democrats look weak.

