tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post3312902350537641879..comments2023-10-24T09:06:30.200-04:00Comments on No More Mister Nice Blog: DATA ANALYSES OF THE GOP RACE WE NEVER FINISHED READINGSteve M.http://www.blogger.com/profile/11963290427258439242noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-36648853382696756992016-01-20T19:08:53.160-05:002016-01-20T19:08:53.160-05:00Apropos of Florida, something tells me all the Cub...Apropos of Florida, something tells me all the Cubans under 65 are going to be voting Democrat this year. It's amazing that Bush and Rubio both have no legs in the state, you'd think some Republicans would have some affection for at least one of them.Yastreblyanskyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08335868257729063363noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-70832732638572899392016-01-20T15:58:21.272-05:002016-01-20T15:58:21.272-05:00We'll know a great deal after Iowa. If Trump c...We'll know a great deal after Iowa. If Trump can deliver turnout commensurate with his poll numbers, it's all over but the shouting. If not, we'll know that he's a paper tiger.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05493939044872288977noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-41263536703621261372016-01-20T15:44:43.753-05:002016-01-20T15:44:43.753-05:00No, I agree that he's the most beatable. I jus...No, I agree that he's the most beatable. I just think it's far from a certainty that he'd lose.Steve M.https://www.blogger.com/profile/11963290427258439242noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-67377859599370962682016-01-20T15:23:56.917-05:002016-01-20T15:23:56.917-05:00Maybe you need to wonder why "data journalist...Maybe you need to wonder why "data journalists" don't seem to trust the data. 538's been a pretty reliable organization with a solid empirical bent. They do not seem to have a lot of faith in the numbers this cycle. Their inclination this year -- unlike, say, 2012 when their analysis was very poll driven -- to question the polls gives me pause.<br /><br />That said, I've got my fingers crossed for Trump to sweep the primaries. He'd be the easiest to beat (though I think you disagree -- some polls, e.g., those that show him hated by more and more minorities, you don't seem to credit as much) and even if he won, he's clearly the least conservative of the bunch. You can't ask much more from a GOP president than that he not be a died-in-the-wool conservative.mlbxxxxxxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05931351723996391533noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-57592368856430322132016-01-20T14:46:51.656-05:002016-01-20T14:46:51.656-05:00One cannot see, that which one paid not to see.One cannot see, that which one paid not to see.Victorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06609452382111686086noreply@blogger.com