tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post9161918162584839101..comments2023-10-24T09:06:30.200-04:00Comments on No More Mister Nice Blog: DID THAT TERRIBLE SPEECH WORK? POSSIBLY.Steve M.http://www.blogger.com/profile/11963290427258439242noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-39169523831606173612016-07-23T15:46:08.516-04:002016-07-23T15:46:08.516-04:00Will this election be close? Quite possibly. The l...Will this election be close? Quite possibly. The last one was. But I'll have to see Trump winning more polls than he's losing to think he can win.AllieGhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07994768860067988405noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-2628914304753538682016-07-23T09:31:40.154-04:002016-07-23T09:31:40.154-04:00KenRight is both an idiot AND a racist.KenRight is both an idiot AND a racist.Glennishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03681336164718681936noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-53307104882094839542016-07-22T17:53:35.019-04:002016-07-22T17:53:35.019-04:00As far as Obama's popularity ratings, Japan ha...As far as Obama's popularity ratings, Japan has a kind of near untouchable class called the Burakumin. (sp)<br />The Japanese government perhaps circa 1990s started conducting propaganda campaigns to rehabilitate them, as it were. Somewhere in this chronological mix, opinion polls were conducted among the citizenry , then others, which established that many Japanese really still didn't consider the Burakumin equals, or let us say, in the improved manner that earlier polls suggested they did. They admitted, what amounted to a few percentage points anyway did, that they had polled favorably on the Burakumin out of a peer pressure guilt complex in part.<br /><br />Of course such a phenomenon might in no way affect Obama's popularity vote<br />in the United States currently.<br /><br />KenRighthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02861276158382647529noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-6325176100206128052016-07-22T13:48:41.597-04:002016-07-22T13:48:41.597-04:00White, 60, female; have never voted Republican in ...White, 60, female; have never voted Republican in my life. That said, I agree with almost everything you've written. For younger voters (who at this point is almost everyone), two thoughts: A whole lotta voters 18-35ish of every color aren't going to like Trump's racism all that much. He's dissing their friends and their spouses and their colleagues and co-workers. But they're going to L O V E his isolationism. Heard a youngish-sounding woman on a NPR call-in begin her comments with "not a Trump supporter" and go on to rave about his NATO dis, his rejection of foreign wars and nation building. We cannot forget what thirty years of failing schools and declining educational standards mean in terms of what people younger than 40 actually know about the world. If they know anything about NATO it's what Trump said. They haven't got a clue what Europe was like before WWII, let alone the 500 years before that. Dora Carringtonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15206548098825105451noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-49025819725334845592016-07-22T13:27:16.275-04:002016-07-22T13:27:16.275-04:00Steve, you managed to express well what I've b...Steve, you managed to express well what I've been thinking. (Maybe it's because we both vote against our common demographic.) I see these articles dismissing the R convention, its candidate, and its base in smug, faux-knowledgeable tones, and I come away with the feeling that the authors are addressing only each other and a very few like-minded others. Out here in RealWorld, where the actual votes are, the people who are going to cast them (or not) don't give a tinker's damn about the things that seem to make the political scribblers so certain that the whole 2016 R enterprise is a busted flush. What really concerns me is that I fear the guiding lights on the D side are more in tune with the scribblers than with the electorate(s). I keep recalling Gore rolling his eyes at W with that same misguided smugness.CHhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15409212720220729669noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-13947223879423363642016-07-22T12:12:43.952-04:002016-07-22T12:12:43.952-04:00Michael Moore is predicting a Trump win. See this,...Michael Moore is predicting a Trump win. See this, about 10 minutes and 45 seconds into the program: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3SeDjWOuOyY<br /><br />If he's right, we are all so screwed, as is the United States of America, that you won't be able to count the ways. <br /><br />Yours very crankily,<br />The New York CrankThe New York Crankhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04489472134701718697noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-8369132995477616032016-07-22T11:58:33.893-04:002016-07-22T11:58:33.893-04:00Steve M., I average your standard Nordic-issue 5+ ...Steve M., I average your standard Nordic-issue 5+ inches taller and a statistically irrelevant Y-quibbl-Y-not definitely more than 7-to-NotWay10 years older, which IAE variesa lot because I only acknowledge exact numbers on days when the measure best fits my illusion of self.<br /><br />What would the WORST IMAGINABLE poll look like?<br /><br />1. It's have to be a geographically diverse and/or large country to allow for a whole lot of regionalism,<br />2. It'd have to be done in predominantly capitalist setting, to allow for maximum message spread, speed and manipulation.<br />3. There'd have to be a widespread deeply ingrained sense of denial in one or more large ethnic and/or tribal group.<br />4. Optimally you'd need to be able to play all or most of the polls questions off a backdrop of grievances, eitehr a lot of them but more reliably durable is one big central ethnic and/or tribal grievance can, especially if it;s been repeatedly institutionalized and periodically re-aggravated (eg slavery).<br />5. You'd really want to do it in the heat of the summer,<br />6. ideally just at or after the apex of irrational exuberance one can expect from a nationally televised and indeed fascinating political event (eg the presidential national nomination convention, which is closet to ideal for a whole bunch of reasons going to the perception limitations on humans).<br />7. Unquestionably there'd hwve to be a heightened favorable environment for disingenuous pollsters and deliberately skewed polls, but mostly in a country where the cell-phone-only and land-line populations are both significant.<br /><br />Once again, there's REASON to haul out my Wang:<br />Sam Wang, Princeton psych prof, national figure in polling, posted in MARCH that this sort of nonsense would happen, so beware of false impressions, keep referring back to history and the February polls.<br /><br />Oh, now what's this is see my in inbox? Reminders of the upcoming DNC? How TIMELY!Feud Turgidsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05379322096770703017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-44982594250092556422016-07-22T11:20:29.717-04:002016-07-22T11:20:29.717-04:00On average. I'm white and 57 and I don't, ...On average. I'm white and 57 and I don't, but I'm in the minority.Steve M.https://www.blogger.com/profile/11963290427258439242noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-41566868311810520902016-07-22T10:44:08.218-04:002016-07-22T10:44:08.218-04:00"Yes, older whites always vote Republican...&..."Yes, older whites always vote Republican..."<br /><br />No.swkellogghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06282997501489101503noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-23989590157280348402016-07-22T09:06:11.297-04:002016-07-22T09:06:11.297-04:00For a lot of people, Trump is "The Gold Stand...For a lot of people, Trump is "The Gold Standard."<br /><br />For those who know him better - like this native NYer - he's 'the gilded standard.'<br /><br />He's always been as full of shit as a stopped-up bull.<br />And he's always been full of nothing else, but himself.<br /><br />But, you're right, Steve, a lot of people don't know that. <br />And so, here we are...<br />Oy...Victorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06609452382111686086noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-86724219131718277512016-07-22T08:26:00.807-04:002016-07-22T08:26:00.807-04:00Comparison to Hitler is indeed misplaced, Hitler c...Comparison to Hitler is indeed misplaced, Hitler could speak in public.Ten Bearshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06594307610015584119noreply@blogger.com