tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post8550423712516227206..comments2023-10-24T09:06:30.200-04:00Comments on No More Mister Nice Blog: WHY YOU SHOULD BE SKEPTICAL OF THAT TRUMP-LEADS-FLORIDA POLL (AND WHY MAYBE YOU SHOULDN'T BE)Steve M.http://www.blogger.com/profile/11963290427258439242noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-28950855249377915632015-07-31T01:44:37.049-04:002015-07-31T01:44:37.049-04:00Yeah I saw that TPM article. I hate to admit, I as...Yeah I saw that TPM article. I hate to admit, I assumed they were all Trump supporters. Even though the clip was obviously heavily edited. You're right on all counts. Trump is good TV and they'll use each other as long as they each can profit from it. I agree (and have always believed) that when the ground game becomes important, that is, when he has to spend his own money, if he gets that far, he'll dry up and blow away. Unless he goes Independent like Perot, but I don't think he has the cash to do that.petrillihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17889489779105405703noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-42173824000105319202015-07-30T21:35:49.403-04:002015-07-30T21:35:49.403-04:00petrelli -
TPM has basically outed the Bloomberg ...petrelli -<br /><br /><a href="http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/bloomberg-politics-trump-supporter-dispute" rel="nofollow">TPM has basically outed the Bloomberg voter panel as a sloppy mess.</a> Supposedly only one of the panel was an actual Trump supporter - the rest just listed Trump as one of their "top three".<br /><br />The political press and the 24 hour news channels have a vested interest in making the presidential campaign a) as long as possible and b) as big a spectacle as possible. Trump is a dancing circus monkey with a dead ferret on his head, but he gets eyeballs. So they're pushing the Trump narrative as far as they can to get the clicks. He's going to max out somwhere in the range of 27% (within a margin of error - let's say +/- 5%). That 27% looks impressive in a field of 16 candidates, but when it comes down to 2 candidates and one has 67% and the other has 27% it won't look so impressive.<br /><br />It's silly season pushed back into July. Usually this would be August material - another example of how much the political press needs the presidential campaigns for the eyeballs. If he makes it to Iowa I would be surprised to see him come in as high as 3rd. Iowa introduces another wrinkle because Iowa caucuses are all about the ground game - and I don't think Trump has any ground game. he's not building a national machine to win an election - he's building a publicity machine to fluff the "Trump brand". He may think that's all it takes to win an election, but you'd think after his failed attempt at the Reform Party nomination in 2000 he'd know better. (Though that would entail Trump actually learning from his mistakes - and history has not shown that the man is capable of learning much of anything.)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-73137611238080870542015-07-30T16:56:30.235-04:002015-07-30T16:56:30.235-04:00Trump voter panel discussion from Bloomberg. No re...Trump voter panel discussion from <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-07-30/new-hampshire-voters-explain-the-appeal-of-donald-trump" rel="nofollow">Bloomberg</a>. No real surprises. None of them can really articulate their reasoning. None of them show any signs of having gone to the trouble to drill down into any particular issue. All smoke and mirrors.petrillihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17889489779105405703noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-74870483041793591172015-07-30T16:18:08.108-04:002015-07-30T16:18:08.108-04:00I think we should all just accept the fact that Tr...I think we should all just accept the fact that Trump is probably, legitimately in the lead everywhere. This ridiculously large field, 17 now with everyone's fav (?) Jim Gilmore joining the melee, is partly responsible, but Trump might be leading regardless of the size of the field. Shit, Trump might be the nominee. Wouldn't that be a hoot? It is going to be a wild ride unless they can kneecap him in the debate --a wild ride, but a hugely, classy one.mlbxxxxxxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05931351723996391533noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3856837.post-75835632848669560432015-07-30T13:51:55.553-04:002015-07-30T13:51:55.553-04:00The Ancient Chinese had a curse:
"May you liv...The Ancient Chinese had a curse:<br />"May you live in interesting times..."<br /><br />I don't recall one that said, "May you live in TEH STOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOPID times!!!"<br />Oy...Victorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06609452382111686086noreply@blogger.com