A poll of millennials from Harvard's Institute of Politics certainly looks grim for President Obama:
A majority of 18- to 29-year-olds -- a constituency crucial to the success of President Obama's health overhaul -- disapprove of the law, and fewer than a third of those who are uninsured are likely to sign up for coverage, according to a new poll by Harvard University's Institute of Politics.Is that really a conservative tilt? It is if you think of politics as binary and zero-sum, with every loss by one major party equal to a gain by the other. But go to the poll: while approval of the Democratic Party is declining, approval of the Republican Party isn't rising -- it's basically flatlining:
The survey, released Wednesday, also found a stark drop in Mr. Obama's approval ratings among those so-called millennial voters, who have long been his most ardent supporters.
Just 41 percent now approve of the president, down from 52 percent in October 2012, a finding that puts young voters more in keeping with the general population. The younger half of the cohort, those 18 to 24, tilts increasingly conservative; the poll found that 52 percent of this group -- many of them too young to have voted for Mr. Obama when he first ran in 2008 -- would vote to recall him from office if they could....
"Increasingly conservative"? Does the red line below suggest that millennials are becoming "increasingly conservative"?
And yes, approximately half of millennials say they'd recall Obama from office if they could, but about the same percentage would remove everyone from office if they could:
And while the millennials would like Obama out of there, they still prefer him to Mitt Romney:
But a plurality of respondents, 46 percent, said they would still vote for [Obama] for president if they could recast their 2012 ballots, compared with 35 percent who said they would vote for the then-Republican nominee Mitt Romney.Obama is down among this group. Republicans are not up. And Republicans are saying and doing absolutely nothing to win young people over, nor are they likely to do so anytime between now and November 2016.
Some 55 percent of the survey respondents who reported casting ballots in the 2012 presidential election said they had voted for Obama, compared with 33 percent for Romney.