Tuesday, January 13, 2004

In The New York Times, David Brooks gathers together some poll results to prove that "Bush has crashed through the 45/45 partisan divide" and that "there are many more people who support him than oppose him." Here are some numbers he somehow managed to overlook:

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 9-11, 2004:

"Which comes closest to your view about the election for president in November? You plan to vote for Bush regardless of whom the Democrats nominate for president. You are waiting to see who the Democrats nominate for president before you make up your mind about who to vote for. OR, You plan to vote against Bush regardless of whom the Democrats nominate for president." Options rotated

Vote For Bush: 39%

Waiting: 28%

Vote Against Bush: 33%

**************

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Jan. 8-9, 2004:

"In general, would you like to see George W. Bush reelected to another term as president, or not?"

Yes: 48%

No: 46%

Don't Know: 6%

**************

Associated Press poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. Jan. 5-7, 2004:

"If the election were held today, would you definitely vote to reelect George W. Bush as president, consider voting for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else as president?"

Definitely Bush: 41%

Consider Someone Else: 24%

Vote for Someone Else: 33%

Not Sure: 2%

**************

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Dec. 19, 2003-Jan. 4, 2004:

"Looking ahead to the general election in November, would you like to see George W. Bush reelected president in 2004 or would you prefer that a Democratic candidate win the election?" If "Other" or "Someone else": "If you had to choose, would you like to see George W. Bush reelected or would you prefer that a Democratic candidate win the election?"

Bush: 44%

Democrat: 42%

Other/Unsure: 14%

**************

CNN/
Time Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Dec. 30, 2003-Jan. 1, 2004:

"If George W. Bush runs for reelection, how likely are you to vote for him: very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely?"
.
Very Likely: 33%

Somewhat Likely: 18%

Somewhat Unlikely: 8%

Very Unlikely: 38%

Not Sure: 3%

"Suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today and you had to choose between [see below], the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican. For whom would you vote: [see below]?"

George W. Bush: 51%

Howard Dean: 46%

Not Sure: 3%


"Crashed through" my ass.

(All poll results from Polling Report.)

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